Magic vs Spurs Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 14

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 14, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Magic (28-40) are -5.5 favorites vs. the Spurs (17-50)
  • Total (Over/Under): 233.5 points
  • Tuesday, March 14, 2023 at 8:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on BSSW & BSFL

The Orlando Magic visit AT&T Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in San Antonio.

The Magic are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).

The Magic vs Spurs Over/Under is 232.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Magic are 36-30 against the spread, while the Spurs are 27-40 against the spread.


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Magic vs. Spurs Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orlando Magic-5.5 -105O 232.5 -110-210
San Antonio Spurs +5.5 -115U 232.5 -110+170

Spurs vs Magic Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Magic will win Tuesday‘s game with 67.2% confidence.

Spurs vs Magic Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Magic will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 57.3% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Magic and Spurs, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Orlando Magic have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 43 games (+23.80 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 42 games (+13.30 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 37 away games (+12.39 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have covered the 3Q Spread in 15 of their last 18 away games (+11.81 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the Team Total Over in 39 of their last 63 games (+11.25 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 59 games (+16.34 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+11.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 47 of their last 82 games (+10.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+7.90 Units / 131% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 2Q Spread in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.83 Units / 52% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Magic have gone 36-30 (+3.05 Units / 4.08% ROI).

  • 28-40 against the Moneyline (+15.35 Units / 19.94% ROI)
  • 34-34 against the Over for game total points (-3.4 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 34-34 against the Under for game total points (-3.4 Units / -4.55% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 27-40 (-17 Units / -23.07% ROI).

  • 17-50 against the Moneyline (-7.55 Units / -11.15% ROI)
  • 37-28 against the Over for game total points (+6.2 Units / 8.41% ROI)
  • 28-37 against the Under for game total points (-12.7 Units / -17.23% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 67 games (-30.46 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 81 games (-25.57 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 4Q Spread in 23 of their last 67 games (-25.12 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the Spread in 22 of their last 60 games (-19.80 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 82 games (-18.20 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 71 games (-21.85 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 81 games (-19.02 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 37 away games (-17.54 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 81 games (-14.39 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 64 games (-12.87 Units / -18% ROI)

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Orlando Magic: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Magic are 3-43 (.065) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .229

The Magic are 32-83 (.278) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .454

The Magic are 17-48 (.262) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .453

The Magic are 10-31 (.244) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .391

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Orlando Magic

The Spurs are winless (0-30) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .302

The Spurs are 3-57 (.050) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .276

The Spurs are 1-27 (.036) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .240

The Spurs are 4-56 (.067) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .229

Injury Report: Spurs vs. MagicTuesday‘s Game, Mar. 14

  • Keldon Johnson (Spurs): Johnson is questionable for Tuesday’s (Mar 14) game against Orlando.
  • Malaki Branham (Spurs): Branham is OUT for Tuesday’s (Mar 14) game against Orlando.
  • Jeremy Sochan (Spurs): Sochan is questionable for Tuesday’s (Mar 14) game against Orlando.
  • Tre Jones (Spurs): Jones is OUT for Tuesday’s (Mar 14) game against Orlando.
  • Khem Birch (Spurs): Birch hasn’t played since Dec. 29 against Memphis and remains without a timetable to return.
  • Romeo Langford (Spurs): Langford is OUT for Tuesday’s (Mar 14) game against Orlando.
  • Jonathan Isaac (Magic): Jonathan Isaac underwent surgery to repair a torn left adductor, the Magic announced he will miss the rest of the regular-season. (Per. Woj)
  • Franz Wagner (Magic): Wagner is questionable for Tuesday’s (Mar. 14) game against San Antonio.

Orlando Magic Offensive Stats & Trends

The Magic are shooting 44% (4,346/9,924) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Magic have an eFG% of 50% on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Magic have an eFG% of 50% in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Magic averaged 104.0 points per game (7,488 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have 21.0 free throw attempts per game this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.7

The Spurs have averaged 1.11 points per shot (302 points/271 shots) in the second half in the last two weeks — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

The Spurs have averaged 54.5 points in the paint per game (8,120 points/149 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.6

The Spurs have made 10.6 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5

Orlando Magic Defensive Stats & Trends

The Magic have averaged 6.9 steals per game (1,541 steals/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Magic have averaged 7.0 steals per game (1,045 steals/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Magic have averaged 6.8 steals per game (763 steals/112 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Magic have averaged 7.1 steals per game (778 steals/110 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (262 blocks/67 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Spurs have averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,236 rebounds/67 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Spurs have averaged 35.0 defensive rebounds per game (5,214 rebounds/149 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.8

The Spurs have averaged 7.7 steals per game (571 steals/74 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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