Magic vs Suns Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 16

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 16, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Suns (37-32) are -7.5 favorites vs. the Magic (28-41)
  • Total (Over/Under): 229.5 points
  • Thursday, March 16, 2023 at 10:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on BSAZ & BSFL

The Orlando Magic visit Footprint Center to take on the Phoenix Suns on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Phoenix.

The Suns are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-115).

The Magic vs Suns Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Magic are 36-31 against the spread, while the Suns are 36-31 against the spread.


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Magic vs. Suns Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orlando Magic+7.5 -105O 228.5 -110+260
Phoenix Suns -7.5 -115U 228.5 -110-350

Suns vs Magic Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Suns will win Thursday‘s game with 67.0% confidence.

Suns vs Magic Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Magic will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.3% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Magic and Suns, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Orlando Magic have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 44 games (+21.10 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 43 games (+11.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 away games (+11.26 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 38 away games (+11.19 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have covered the 3Q Spread in 15 of their last 19 away games (+10.63 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 45 of their last 70 games (+17.60 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 28 games (+14.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 35 games (+14.20 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 49 games (+12.64 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 65 games (+10.30 Units / 14% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Magic have gone 36-31 (+1.95 Units / 2.57% ROI).

  • 28-41 against the Moneyline (+12.65 Units / 15.87% ROI)
  • 35-34 against the Over for game total points (-2.4 Units / -3.16% ROI)
  • 34-35 against the Under for game total points (-4.5 Units / -5.93% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 36-31 (+1.9 Units / 2.5% ROI).

  • 37-32 against the Moneyline (-3.2 Units / -2.15% ROI)
  • 33-34 against the Over for game total points (-4.4 Units / -5.8% ROI)
  • 34-33 against the Under for game total points (-2.3 Units / -3.03% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 37 of their last 94 games (-25.35 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 74 games (-21.68 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 1H Spread in 37 of their last 95 games (-21.50 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 42 of their last 88 games (-21.02 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 44 of their last 93 games (-20.90 Units / -13% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 72 games (-20.85 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 38 away games (-16.54 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 81 games (-14.12 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 80 games (-13.17 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 65 games (-11.87 Units / -16% ROI)

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Orlando Magic: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Magic are 3-43 (.065) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .229

The Magic are 32-83 (.278) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .454

The Magic are 17-48 (.262) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .453

The Magic are 10-31 (.244) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .391

Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Orlando Magic

The Phoenix Suns are 7-17 (.292) when losing the rebounding margin this season — ninth-worst among NBA teams. The Milwaukee Bucks have averaged 57.2 rebounds per game (3,892 rebounds/68 games) this season — highest among NBA teams.

The Suns are 39-9 (.812) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Suns are 85-32 (.726) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

The Suns are 33-10 (.767) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

Injury Report: Suns vs. MagicThursday‘s Game, Mar. 16

  • Landry Shamet (Suns): Shamet will be re-evaluated in a week, according to Gerald Bourguet of GoPHNX.com.
  • Torrey Craig (Suns): Craig is probable for Thursday’s (Mar.16) game against Orlando.
  • Kevin Durant (Suns): Durant is expected to miss 2 to 3 weeks with a left ankle injury. (per Woj)
  • Gary Harris (Magic): Harris is questionable for Thursday’s (Mar.16) game against Phoenix.
  • Jonathan Isaac (Magic): Jonathan Isaac underwent surgery to repair a torn left adductor, the Magic announced he will miss the rest of the regular-season. (Per. Woj)

Orlando Magic Offensive Stats & Trends

The Magic are shooting 44% (4,346/9,924) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Magic have an eFG% of 50% on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Magic have an eFG% of 50% in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Magic averaged 104.0 points per game (7,488 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (3,024 assists/ 1,456 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (1,966 assists/ 1,014 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (2,872 assists/ 1,468 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (6,031 assists/ 2,912 TOs) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Orlando Magic Defensive Stats & Trends

The Magic have averaged 6.9 steals per game (1,541 steals/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Magic have averaged 7.0 steals per game (1,045 steals/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Magic have averaged 6.8 steals per game (763 steals/112 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Magic have averaged 7.1 steals per game (778 steals/110 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 8.0 steals per game (1,201 steals/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Suns have averaged 7.7 steals per game (1,718 steals/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Suns have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (318 blocks/76 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Suns have averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (5,452 rebounds/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.8


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