Mavericks vs 76ers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 29

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 29, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The 76ers (49-26) are -4.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks (37-39)
  • Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
  • Wednesday, March 29, 2023 at 7:30pm EDT
  • Watch the game on NBCS-PH & BSSW

The Dallas Mavericks visit Wells Fargo Center to take on the Philadelphia 76ers on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Philadelphia.

The 76ers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The Mavericks vs 76ers Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 29-44 against the spread, while the 76ers are 44-31 against the spread.


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Mavericks vs. 76ers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dallas Mavericks+4.5 -115O 231.5 -110+145
Philadelphia 76ers -4.5 -105U 231.5 -110-175

76ers vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the 76ers will win Wednesday‘s game with 61.5% confidence.

76ers vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the 76ers will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.4% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Mavericks and 76ers, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 26 away games (+8.84 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 71 games (+8.05 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2H Moneyline in 16 of their last 26 games (+7.88 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 37 away games (+7.42 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 26 away games (+7.10 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have covered the 4Q Spread in 41 of their last 65 games (+14.55 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 22 games (+14.10 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have covered the Spread in 43 of their last 70 games (+13.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 70 games (+13.05 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+9.35 Units / 13% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 29-44 (-19.35 Units / -23.17% ROI).

  • 37-39 against the Moneyline (-39.15 Units / -22.33% ROI)
  • 39-36 against the Over for game total points (-0.6 Units / -0.72% ROI)
  • 36-39 against the Under for game total points (-6.9 Units / -8.25% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the 76ers have gone 44-31 (+9.85 Units / 11.93% ROI).

  • 49-26 against the Moneyline (+1.35 Units / 0.76% ROI)
  • 40-34 against the Over for game total points (+2.6 Units / 3.15% ROI)
  • 34-40 against the Under for game total points (-10 Units / -12.12% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 94 games (-28.37 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 39 of their last 85 games (-24.30 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 93 games (-23.00 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 32 of their last 81 games (-21.47 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 71 games (-19.60 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 81 games (-42.70 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 67 games (-30.39 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 45 of their last 99 games (-26.35 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 91 games (-25.72 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 60 games (-22.95 Units / -24% ROI)

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Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia 76ers

The Mavericks are 25-1 (.962) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .773

The Mavericks are 42-10 (.808) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .767

The Mavericks are 44-41 (.518) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

The Mavericks are 32-7 (.821) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .770

Philadelphia 76ers: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The 76ers are 28-8 (.778) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The 76ers are 113-20 (.850) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .675

The 76ers are 12-4 (.750) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .534

The 76ers are 38-8 (.826) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643

Injury Report: 76ers vs. MavericksWednesday‘s Game, Mar. 29

  • Joel Embiid (76ers): Embiid is questionable for Wednesday’s (Mar. 29) game against Dallas.
  • James Harden (76ers): Harden is questionable for Wednesday’s (Mar. 29) game against Dallas.
  • Maxi Kleber (Mavericks): Kleber is questionable for Wednesday’s (Mar. 29) game against Philadelphia.
  • Frank Ntilikina (Mavericks): Ntilikina is questionable for Wednesday’s (Mar. 29) game against Philadelphia.

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 39.8 points in the paint per game (1,354 points/34 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.8

The Mavericks have averaged 42.6 points in the paint per game (6,474 points/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.6

The Mavericks have averaged 9.2 fast break points per game (312 points/34 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Mavericks have averaged 12.4 turnovers per game (1,892 turnovers/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

Philadelphia 76ers Offensive Stats & Trends

The 76ers have averaged 1.54 points per shot (747 points/485 shots) in the last two weeks — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

The 76ers are shooting 51% from three (51/100) in the second half in the last two weeks — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The 76ers are shooting 46% from three (88/191) in the last two weeks — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The 76ers have a 30% free throw rate (2,735 free throw attempts/9,092 field goal attempts) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (579 blocks/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Mavericks have averaged 6.6 steals per game (1,003 steals/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Mavericks have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (426 blocks/113 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Mavericks have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (890 blocks/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Philadelphia 76ers Defensive Stats & Trends

The 76ers have averaged 35.1 defensive rebounds per game (5,262 rebounds/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.7

The 76ers have averaged 7.8 steals per game (528 steals/68 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The 76ers have averaged 5.0 blocks per game (756 blocks/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The 76ers have averaged 8.4 steals per game (946 steals/113 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.