Mavericks vs Bucks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 31

• The Mavericks are -2.5 favorites vs. the Bucks
• Total (Over/Under): 229.5 points
• Watch the game on KFAA | FDWI

The Dallas Mavericks visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00 pm in Milwaukee, WI.

The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-102).

The Mavericks vs Bucks Over/Under is 229.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 33-42 against the spread, while the Bucks are 32-42 against the spread.

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Mavericks vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Bucks vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Tuesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Bucks.

Bucks vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 64.3% confidence.

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Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 50 games (+17.60 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+10.40 Units / 170% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games (+10.35 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 away games (+8.40 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 away games (+7.60 Units / 16% ROI)

Bucks Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+9.90 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+9.85 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.05 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+7.90 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.00 Units / 17% ROI)

Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 33-42 (-13.25 Units / -16.05% ROI).

• 24-51 against the Moneyline (-13.45 Units / -14.31% ROI)
• 33-42 against the Over for game total points (-13.2 Units / -16% ROI)
• 42-33 against the Under for game total points (+5.7 Units / 6.91% ROI)

Milwaukee Bucks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 32-42 (-14.2 Units / -17.46% ROI).

• 29-45 against the Moneyline (-13.55 Units / -12.3% ROI)
• 33-41 against the Over for game total points (-12.1 Units / -14.86% ROI)
• 41-33 against the Under for game total points (+4.7 Units / 5.77% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Bucks:

• The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 40 games (-19.90 Units / -43% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 30 games at home (-19.60 Units / -57% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-17.00 Units / -29% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 30 games at home (-16.45 Units / -39% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 40 games at home (-15.80 Units / -34% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:

• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 50 games (-24.35 Units / -43% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.65 Units / -29% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 50 games (-16.40 Units / -29% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 45 games (-16.25 Units / -31% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 6 of their last 24 games (-14.70 Units / -53% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
• Keys to Winning for the Milwaukee Bucks
• Player Injuries for Dallas Mavericks vs. Milwaukee Bucks
• Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
• Milwaukee Bucks Offensive stats
• Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats
• Milwaukee Bucks Defensive stats

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Mavericks are 8-32 (.200) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .429

The Mavericks are 15-46 (.246) when allowing 110 or more points this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .355

The Mavericks are 5-27 (.156) when their eFG is 50% or worse this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .224

The Mavericks are 12-33 (.267) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .432

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Bucks are 4-9 (.308) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .600

The Bucks are 115-46 (.714) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Mavericks have allowed 116.6 points per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th-worst in the NBA.

The Bucks are winless (0-13) when their eFG is 50% or worse this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .224

The Bucks are 12-23 (.343) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have a TS% of 49% this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Mavericks have averaged 53.3 points in the paint per game (4,000 points/75 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.6

The Mavericks have made 10.7 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

The Mavericks are shooting 34% from three (403/1,203) in the first half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have a TS% of 55% in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Bucks have an eFG% of 60% in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Bucks are shooting 73% from the free throw line (1,031/1,411) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Bucks are shooting 51% (389/758) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 45%

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,767 rebounds/75 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9

The Mavericks have averaged 7.4 steals per game (557 steals/75 games) this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Mavericks have averaged 7.4 steals per game (1,765 steals/239 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Mavericks have blocked 385 shots this season — 10th most among NBA teams

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 7.5 steals per game (557 steals/74 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Bucks have averaged 7.1 steals per game (832 steals/117 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.1

The Bucks have averaged 4.5 blocks per game (1,082 blocks/238 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Bucks have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (286 blocks/74 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

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