Mavericks vs Bucks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 5

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on KFAA | FDWI

The Dallas Mavericks visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Milwaukee, WI, WI, USA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Mavericks vs Bucks Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 30-30 against the spread, while the Bucks are 29-31 against the spread.


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Mavericks vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dallas Mavericks O
Milwaukee Bucks U

Bucks vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Wednesday‘s game with 79.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Bucks.

Bucks vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 54.4% confidence.


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  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 4Q Spread in 58 of their last 97 games (+17.58 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 99 games (+14.95 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 away games (+14.30 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 26 of their last 39 away games (+11.05 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 57 of their last 99 games (+9.95 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1H Spread in 32 of their last 52 games (+10.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 35 of their last 52 games (+9.00 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+8.95 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+8.95 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 games (+8.52 Units / 12% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 30-30 (-3 Units / -4.4% ROI).

  • 32-30 against the Moneyline (+6.4 Units / 4.79% ROI)
  • 31-31 against the Over for game total points (-3.1 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 31-31 against the Under for game total points (-3.1 Units / -4.55% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 29-31 (-5.1 Units / -7.6% ROI).

  • 36-25 against the Moneyline (-9.3 Units / -6.39% ROI)
  • 30-31 against the Over for game total points (-4.1 Units / -6.11% ROI)
  • 31-30 against the Under for game total points (-2 Units / -2.98% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 34 of their last 87 games (-26.45 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 33 of their last 82 games (-21.15 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 66 games (-19.50 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 62 games (-18.33 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 79 games (-16.65 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 99 games (-25.22 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 99 games (-18.60 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 45 away games (-17.15 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 45 of their last 100 games (-16.83 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 92 games (-16.78 Units / -16% ROI)

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Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Mavericks were 9-3 (.750) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

The Mavericks are 54-23 (.701) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .569

The Mavericks are 76-52 (.594) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .509

The Mavericks are 3-10 (.231) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Bucks are 43-10 (.811) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .693

The Bucks are 35-19 (.648) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Bucks are 12-5 (.706) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572

The Bucks are 9-4 (.692) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .552

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks made 14.7 three-pointers per game last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Mavericks had 22.7 free throw attempts per game last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7

The Mavericks averaged 48.0 points in the paint per game (3,932 points/82 games) last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 1.39 points per shot (4,829 points/3,483 shots) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

The Bucks have averaged 10.0 second chance points per game (290 points/29 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Bucks have averaged 42.9 points in the paint per game (2,530 points/59 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.8

The Bucks have averaged 12.8 fast break points per game (1,800 points/141 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.9

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Mavericks have averaged 5.4 blocks per game (779 blocks/144 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Mavericks have averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (5,172 rebounds/144 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Mavericks have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (364 blocks/62 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 7.0 steals per game (987 steals/141 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Bucks have averaged 37.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,227 rebounds/59 games) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The Bucks have averaged 6.8 steals per game (469 steals/69 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9

The Bucks averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,035 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2


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