- The Bucks (13-5) are -7.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks (9-9)
- Total (Over/Under): 214.5 points
- Sunday, November 27, 2022 at 8:00pm EST
- Watch the game on BSWI & BSSW
The Dallas Mavericks visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Milwaukee.
The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Mavericks vs Bucks Over/Under is 215.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 4-13 against the spread, while the Bucks are 11-7 against the spread.
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Mavericks vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Dallas Mavericks | +6.5 -110 | O 215.5 -110 | +195 |
Milwaukee Bucks | -6.5 -110 | U 215.5 -110 | -250 |
Bucks vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Sunday‘s game with 64.6% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 52.2% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Mavericks and Bucks, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Mavericks Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 65 of their last 96 games (+31.72 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 1Q Spread in 58 of their last 99 games (+12.85 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 57 of their last 98 games (+11.90 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 games (+9.95 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 55 of their last 93 games (+9.08 Units / 7% ROI)
Bucks Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 58 of their last 92 games (+20.67 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1Q Spread in 46 of their last 73 games (+16.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 28 of their last 41 games (+13.75 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 53 of their last 90 games (+11.79 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 50 of their last 77 games (+11.20 Units / 7% ROI)
Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 4-13 (-10.3 Units / -52.02% ROI).
- 9-9 against the Moneyline (-15.05 Units / -31.35% ROI)
- 10-8 against the Over for game total points (+1.2 Units / 6.06% ROI)
- 8-10 against the Under for game total points (-3 Units / -15.15% ROI)
Milwaukee Bucks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 11-7 (+3.3 Units / 16.67% ROI).
- 13-5 against the Moneyline (+4.85 Units / 9.43% ROI)
- 8-10 against the Over for game total points (-3 Units / -15.15% ROI)
- 10-8 against the Under for game total points (+1.2 Units / 6.06% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Bucks, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 92 games (-31.38 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 65 games (-31.38 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 41 games at home (-27.45 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 38 of their last 77 games (-24.42 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 77 games (-24.36 Units / -20% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Mavericks, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 98 games (-43.43 Units / -39% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 47 of their last 100 games (-24.29 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 100 games (-21.80 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 23 games (-18.60 Units / -35% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Team Total Over in 46 of their last 100 games (-16.00 Units / -14% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
- Keys to Winning for the Milwaukee Bucks
- Player Injuries for Dallas Mavericks vs. Milwaukee Bucks
- Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
- Milwaukee Bucks Offensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats
- Milwaukee Bucks Defensive stats
Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks
The Mavericks are 25-12 (.676) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461
The Mavericks are 22-6 (.786) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .506
The Mavericks are 35-19 (.648) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
The Mavericks are 46-21 (.687) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544
Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks
The Bucks are 35-11 (.761) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .547
The Bucks are 35-23 (.603) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .505
The Bucks are 48-20 (.706) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .562
The Bucks are 52-23 (.693) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544
Injury Report: Bucks vs. Mavericks – Sunday‘s Game, Nov. 27
- Khris Middleton (Bucks): Middleton is expected to miss the first few weeks of the regular season, according to Shams Charnia and Eric Nehm of The Athletic.
- Serge Ibaka (Bucks): Ibaka is OUT for Sunday’s (Nov. 27) game against Dallas.
- Pat Connaughton (Bucks): Connaughton is QUESTIONABLE for Sunday’s (Nov. 27) game against Dallas.
- Joe Ingles (Bucks): Bucks GM Jon Horst said Ingles is expected to return sometime in January.
- Dallas Mavericks – No Injuries Reported
Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have averaged 7.9 assists per game (95 assists/12 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 11.8
The Mavericks have averaged 49.9 points per game (599 points/12 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54.7
The Mavericks have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (95 assists/ 88 TOs) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Mavericks have a 32% free throw rate (321 free throw attempts/991 field goal attempts) this season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%
Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks have an eFG% of 52% this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
The Bucks have averaged 12.8 offensive rebounds per game (154 rebounds/12 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.6
The Bucks have averaged 1.16 points per shot (532 points/460 shots) on the road this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26
The Bucks have averaged 19.8 points in the paint per game (238 points/12 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.8
Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (1,106 steals/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
The Mavericks have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (327 blocks/84 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Mavericks have averaged 31.1 defensive rebounds per game (373 rebounds/12 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.2
The Mavericks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (552 steals/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks have averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (3,441 rebounds/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8
The Bucks have averaged 37.1 defensive rebounds per game (6,165 rebounds/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1
The Bucks have averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (456 rebounds/12 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.3
The Bucks have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (405 blocks/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
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