- The Grizzlies (43-27) are -1.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks (36-35)
- Total (Over/Under): 229.5 points
- Monday, March 20, 2023 at 8:00pm EDT
- Watch the game on BSSE & BSSW
The Dallas Mavericks visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Memphis.
The Grizzlies are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).
The Mavericks vs Grizzlies Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 26-42 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 33-35 against the spread.
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Mavericks vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Dallas Mavericks | +4.5 -105 | O 227.5 -110 | +170 |
Memphis Grizzlies | -4.5 -115 | U 227.5 -110 | -210 |
Grizzlies vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Monday‘s game with 55.2% confidence.
Grizzlies vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 55.2% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Mavericks and Grizzlies, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
Bet now on Grizzlies vs Mavericks and all NBA games with BetMGM
Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 66 games (+9.20 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 34 away games (+8.57 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 23 away games (+7.90 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2H Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+6.88 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 away games (+5.70 Units / 55% ROI)
Grizzlies Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 47 games at home (+28.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 57 of their last 86 games (+24.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 38 of their last 47 games at home (+23.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1H Spread in 34 of their last 47 games at home (+20.80 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1Q Spread in 31 of their last 47 games at home (+14.60 Units / 28% ROI)
Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 26-42 (-20.15 Units / -25.83% ROI).
- 36-35 against the Moneyline (-19.65 Units / -12.96% ROI)
- 38-32 against the Over for game total points (+2.8 Units / 3.59% ROI)
- 32-38 against the Under for game total points (-9.8 Units / -12.55% ROI)
Memphis Grizzlies Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 33-35 (-5.45 Units / -7.08% ROI).
- 43-27 against the Moneyline (+0.4 Units / 0.23% ROI)
- 30-37 against the Over for game total points (-10.7 Units / -13.9% ROI)
- 37-30 against the Under for game total points (+4 Units / 5.19% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Grizzlies:
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 90 games (-35.72 Units / -35% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 91 games (-33.54 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 4Q Spread in 27 of their last 74 games (-24.91 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 15 of their last 39 games (-22.91 Units / -35% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 82 games (-22.00 Units / -24% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 62 games (-29.29 Units / -33% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the Spread in 27 of their last 76 games (-23.55 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 86 games (-23.44 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 2Q Spread in 22 of their last 62 games (-22.40 Units / -33% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 46 of their last 100 games (-21.70 Units / -15% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
- Keys to Winning for the Memphis Grizzlies
- Player Injuries for Dallas Mavericks vs. Memphis Grizzlies
- Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
- Memphis Grizzlies Offensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats
- Memphis Grizzlies Defensive stats
Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies
The Mavericks are 25-1 (.962) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .773
The Mavericks are 42-10 (.808) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .767
The Mavericks are 44-41 (.518) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .456
The Mavericks are 32-7 (.821) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .770
Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks
The Grizzlies are 52-6 (.897) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .770
The Grizzlies are 73-9 (.890) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .774
The Grizzlies are 105-30 (.778) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .650
The Grizzlies are 26-10 (.722) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .534
Injury Report: Grizzlies vs. Mavericks – Monday‘s Game, Mar. 20
- Vince Williams Jr. (Grizzlies): Williams Jr. hasn’t played since Mar. 3 against Denver and remains without a timetable to return.
- Steven Adams (Grizzlies): The Grizzlies announced that Adams continues to recover and will be re-evaluated in about four weeks.
- Ja Morant (Grizzlies): Morant is serving an 8 game league suspension.
- Brandon Clarke (Grizzlies): Clarke will miss the rest of the season with a left Achilles tear, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
- Markieff Morris (Mavericks): Morris is questionable for Monday’s (Mar. 20) game against Memphis.
- Luka Doncic (Mavericks): Doncic is questionable for Monday’s (Mar. 20) game against Memphis.
- Kyrie Irving (Mavericks): Irving is questionable for Monday’s (Mar. 20) game against Memphis.
Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have averaged 39.8 points in the paint per game (1,354 points/34 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.8
The Mavericks have averaged 42.6 points in the paint per game (6,474 points/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.6
The Mavericks have averaged 9.2 fast break points per game (312 points/34 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6
The Mavericks have averaged 12.4 turnovers per game (1,892 turnovers/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0
Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends
The Grizzlies have a TS% of 43% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%
The Grizzlies have averaged 57.9 points in the paint per game (8,684 points/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.6
The Grizzlies have averaged 57.3 points in the paint per game (12,710 points/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.3
The Grizzlies have averaged 28.4 points in the paint per game (4,266 points/150 games) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.4
Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (579 blocks/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Mavericks have averaged 6.6 steals per game (1,003 steals/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Mavericks have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (426 blocks/113 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Mavericks have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (890 blocks/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends
The Grizzlies have averaged 6.2 blocks per game (930 blocks/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Grizzlies have averaged 9.1 steals per game (1,366 steals/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Grizzlies have averaged 9.1 steals per game (2,021 steals/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Grizzlies have averaged 6.8 blocks per game (502 blocks/74 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
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