Mavericks vs Hawks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 2

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 02, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The are + favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): 244.5 points
  • Sunday, April 2, 2023 at 6:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on BSSE & BSSW

The Dallas Mavericks visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EDT in Atlanta.

The Hawks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).

The Mavericks vs Hawks Over/Under is 246.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 29-46 against the spread, while the Hawks are 34-42 against the spread.


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Mavericks vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dallas Mavericks+3.5 -115O 246.5 -110+125
Atlanta Hawks -3.5 -105U 246.5 -110-150

Hawks vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Hawks will win Sunday‘s game with 55.6% confidence.

Hawks vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 53.3% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Mavericks and Hawks, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 43 of their last 73 games (+10.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 39 away games (+9.42 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 28 away games (+8.73 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2H Moneyline in 17 of their last 28 games (+7.88 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 60 games (+7.15 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 58 games (+12.89 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 45 of their last 76 games (+12.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 36 games (+9.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games at home (+9.44 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have covered the 1Q Spread in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.85 Units / 23% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 29-46 (-21.55 Units / -25.15% ROI).

  • 37-41 against the Moneyline (-41.6 Units / -23.4% ROI)
  • 40-37 against the Over for game total points (-0.7 Units / -0.82% ROI)
  • 37-40 against the Under for game total points (-7 Units / -8.16% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 34-42 (-12.2 Units / -14.4% ROI).

  • 38-39 against the Moneyline (-18.85 Units / -12.85% ROI)
  • 43-34 against the Over for game total points (+5.6 Units / 6.61% ROI)
  • 34-43 against the Under for game total points (-13.3 Units / -15.7% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 72 games (-29.43 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 26 of their last 72 games (-24.72 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 74 games (-22.85 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 88 games (-22.36 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 26 of their last 63 games (-22.32 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 83 games (-45.15 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 69 games (-30.39 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 93 games (-27.82 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 76 games (-25.90 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the Spread in 30 of their last 83 games (-24.95 Units / -27% ROI)

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Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Mavericks are 25-1 (.962) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .773

The Mavericks are 42-10 (.808) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .767

The Mavericks are 44-41 (.518) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

The Mavericks are 32-7 (.821) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .770

Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Atlanta Hawks are 3-13 (.188) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 10th-worst among NBA teams. The Golden State Warriors made 16.7 three-pointers per game this season — highest among NBA teams.

The Hawks are 60-13 (.822) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .771

The Hawks are 21-12 (.636) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .513

The Hawks are 7-14 (.333) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .391

Injury Report: Hawks vs. MavericksSunday‘s Game, Apr. 2

  • De’Andre Hunter (Hawks): Hunter is out for Sunday’s (Apr. 2) game against Dallas.
  • Frank Ntilikina (Mavericks): Ntilikina did not play in Saturday’s game (Apr. 1) against the Heat.

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 39.8 points in the paint per game (1,354 points/34 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.8

The Mavericks have averaged 42.6 points in the paint per game (6,474 points/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.6

The Mavericks have averaged 9.2 fast break points per game (312 points/34 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Mavericks have averaged 12.4 turnovers per game (1,892 turnovers/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have averaged 12.0 turnovers per game (890 turnovers/74 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Hawks have averaged 12.6 turnovers per game (2,810 turnovers/223 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Hawks are shooting 48% (3,059/6,352) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Hawks have a 24% free throw rate (1,509 free throw attempts/6,352 field goal attempts) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 27%

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (579 blocks/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Mavericks have averaged 6.6 steals per game (1,003 steals/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Mavericks have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (426 blocks/113 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Mavericks have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (890 blocks/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have averaged 7.1 steals per game (1,073 steals/151 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Hawks have averaged 7.1 steals per game (1,576 steals/223 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Hawks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (515 steals/77 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Hawks have averaged 6.8 steals per game (774 steals/113 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.