Mavericks vs Hawks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 10

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  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The Dallas Mavericks visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30 pm in Atlanta, GA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Mavericks vs Hawks Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 28-36 against the spread, while the Hawks are 33-31 against the spread.


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Mavericks vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dallas Mavericks O
Atlanta Hawks U

Hawks vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Hawks will win Tuesday‘s game with 70.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Hawks.

Hawks vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 65.9% confidence.


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  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 40 games (+15.15 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 away games (+8.82 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 away games (+7.05 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 2H Spread in 16 of their last 24 games (+6.92 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+11.65 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.83 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 2H Moneyline in 13 of their last 16 games at home (+10.75 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 30 games (+8.55 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have covered the 4Q Spread in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.00 Units / 32% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 28-36 (-11.65 Units / -16.54% ROI).

  • 21-43 against the Moneyline (-17.85 Units / -21.79% ROI)
  • 27-37 against the Over for game total points (-13.7 Units / -19.46% ROI)
  • 37-27 against the Under for game total points (+7.3 Units / 10.37% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 33-31 (-1.05 Units / -1.49% ROI).

  • 33-31 against the Moneyline (-0.55 Units / -0.5% ROI)
  • 32-32 against the Over for game total points (-3.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 32-32 against the Under for game total points (-3.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 35 games at home (-16.95 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 30 games (-14.94 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 40 games at home (-13.45 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 18 of their last 45 games (-13.25 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 2Q Spread in 15 of their last 40 games at home (-12.40 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 40 games (-20.35 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 50 games (-19.70 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 19 games (-17.90 Units / -80% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 16 of their last 45 games (-17.25 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 19 games (-14.30 Units / -67% ROI)

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Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Mavericks are 8-26 (.235) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .433

The Mavericks are 12-29 (.293) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .445

The Mavericks are 10-26 (.278) when they lose the turnover margin this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395

The Mavericks were 22-10 (.688) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent in the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Hawks are winless (0-5) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .375

The Hawks are winless (0-6) when assisting on fewer than 20 field goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .228

The Hawks are 7-16 (.304) when they lose the turnover margin this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395

The Hawks were 8-26 (.235) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three in the 2023-24 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .317

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks are shooting 33% from three (331/1,014) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Mavericks have made 10.6 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2

The Mavericks are shooting 34% from three (357/1,058) at home this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks are shooting 44% from three (124/279) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34%

The Hawks have averaged 30.5 assists per game (1,952 assists/64 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.6

The Hawks have averaged 10.5 fast break points per game (673 points/64 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Hawks have an eFG% of 58% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (791/2,326) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Mavericks have averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,384 rebounds/64 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

The Mavericks have averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (8,230 rebounds/228 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks have averaged 7.3 steals per game (469 steals/64 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (571/1,405) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Hawks allowed 8.5 fast break points per game (694 points/82 games) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 6.8

The Hawks have 601 steals this season — 5th most among NBA teams

The Hawks have averaged 8.7 steals per game (969 steals/112 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.