Mavericks vs Heat Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 1

• The Heat are -1.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks
• Total (Over/Under): 224.5 points
• Saturday, April 1, 2023 at 7:30pm EDT
• Watch the game on BSSUN & BSSW

The Dallas Mavericks visit Miami-Dade Arena to take on the Miami Heat on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Miami.

The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Mavericks vs Heat Over/Under is 224.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 29-45 against the spread, while the Heat are 28-47 against the spread.

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Mavericks vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Heat vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Saturday‘s game with 53.7% confidence.

Heat vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 53.7% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Mavericks and Heat, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.

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Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 27 away games (+9.84 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 72 games (+9.05 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 38 away games (+8.42 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 27 away games (+8.10 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2H Moneyline in 16 of their last 27 games (+6.88 Units / 17% ROI)

Heat Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 43 games at home (+16.70 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 29 of their last 43 games at home (+15.65 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 47 of their last 78 games (+11.60 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 93 games (+11.40 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 95 games (+7.90 Units / 8% ROI)

Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 29-45 (-20.45 Units / -24.17% ROI).

• 37-40 against the Moneyline (-40.15 Units / -22.77% ROI)
• 39-37 against the Over for game total points (-1.7 Units / -2.01% ROI)
• 37-39 against the Under for game total points (-5.9 Units / -6.97% ROI)

Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 28-47 (-23.7 Units / -27.96% ROI).

• 40-37 against the Moneyline (-18.6 Units / -12.82% ROI)
• 35-41 against the Over for game total points (-10.1 Units / -11.92% ROI)
• 41-35 against the Under for game total points (+2.5 Units / 2.95% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:

• The Miami Heat have only covered the Spread in 30 of their last 83 games (-26.10 Units / -29% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 97 games (-25.50 Units / -23% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 77 games (-24.04 Units / -24% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 80 games (-21.90 Units / -24% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 32 of their last 84 games (-21.80 Units / -24% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:

• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 82 games (-43.70 Units / -24% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 68 games (-31.39 Units / -32% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 92 games (-26.72 Units / -24% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 46 of their last 100 games (-25.00 Units / -17% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the Spread in 30 of their last 82 games (-23.85 Units / -26% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
• Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
• Player Injuries for Dallas Mavericks vs. Miami Heat
• Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
• Miami Heat Offensive stats
• Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats
• Miami Heat Defensive stats

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

Injury Report: Heat vs. Mavericks – Saturday‘s Game, Apr. 1

• Kyle Lowry (Heat): Lowry is questionable for Saturday’s (Apr.1) game against Dallas.
• Bam Adebayo (Heat): Adebayo is questionable for Saturday’s (Apr.1) game against Dallas.
• Nikola Jovic (Heat): Jovic is OUT for Saturday’s (Apr.1) game against Dallas.

• Frank Ntilikina (Mavericks): Ntilikina did not play in Wednesday’s (Mar. 29) game against Philadelphia.
• Frank Ntilikina (Mavericks): Ntilikina is questionable for Saturday’s (Apr.1) game against Miami.

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

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