Mavericks vs Hornets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 3

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  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The Dallas Mavericks visit Spectrum Center to take on the Charlotte Hornets on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00 pm in Charlotte, NC.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Mavericks vs Hornets Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 27-33 against the spread, while the Hornets are 39-21 against the spread.


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Mavericks vs. Hornets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dallas Mavericks O
Charlotte Hornets U

Hornets vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Hornets will win Tuesday‘s game with 76.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Hornets.

Hornets vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 66.7% confidence.


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  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 35 games (+15.45 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 2H Spread in 32 of their last 50 games (+11.37 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 games (+10.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2H Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 away games (+8.85 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+8.40 Units / 86% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 games (+21.20 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 40 games at home (+20.75 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have covered the Spread in 32 of their last 45 games (+18.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 games (+18.25 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have covered the 3Q Spread in 27 of their last 35 games (+17.55 Units / 43% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 27-33 (-9.35 Units / -14.16% ROI).

  • 21-39 against the Moneyline (-13.85 Units / -17.78% ROI)
  • 27-33 against the Over for game total points (-9.3 Units / -14.09% ROI)
  • 33-27 against the Under for game total points (+3.3 Units / 5% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hornets have gone 39-21 (+15.9 Units / 23.7% ROI).

  • 30-31 against the Moneyline (+12.9 Units / 14.68% ROI)
  • 24-37 against the Over for game total points (-16.7 Units / -24.89% ROI)
  • 37-24 against the Under for game total points (+10.6 Units / 15.8% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 40 games at home (-26.90 Units / -58% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 50 games (-24.05 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 50 games (-23.30 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 40 games at home (-22.60 Units / -49% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 45 games (-15.90 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 50 games (-23.45 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 35 games (-20.05 Units / -51% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 18 of their last 50 games (-18.75 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-14.50 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.35 Units / -25% ROI)

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Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Charlotte Hornets

The Mavericks are 8-23 (.258) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .435

The Mavericks are 8-20 (.286) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .369

The Mavericks are 11-18 (.379) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .551

The Mavericks are 8-11 (.421) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .530

Charlotte Hornets: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Hornets were 2-10 (.167) when attempting 25 or more free throws in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Hornets were winless (0-15) when forcing fewer than 5 steals in the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .385

The Hornets were 2-30 (.062) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Hornets were winless (0-9) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have a TS% of 49% in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Mavericks have made 10.7 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

The Mavericks are shooting 33% from three (315/953) in the first half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Mavericks made 14.7 three-pointers per game in the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

Charlotte Hornets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets averaged 1.17 points per shot (4,257 points/3,648 shots) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27

The Hornets had an eFG% of 50% last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Hornets have averaged 12.3 fast break points per game (2,777 points/225 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.0

The Hornets shot 43% (3,142/7,308) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,233 rebounds/60 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

The Mavericks have averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (8,079 rebounds/224 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks averaged 5.4 blocks per game (445 blocks/82 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Mavericks averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Charlotte Hornets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets have allowed 15.4 offensive rebounds per game (942 rebounds/61 games) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 18.0

The Hornets have averaged 6.5 steals per game (727 steals/111 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Hornets averaged 33.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,709 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Hornets have allowed 12.3 second chance points per game (395 points/32 games) on the road this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.