- The Jazz (25-26) are -7.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks (26-24)
- Total (Over/Under): 223.5 points
- Saturday, January 28, 2023 at 9:00pm EST
- Watch the game on SportsNet RM & BSSW
The Dallas Mavericks visit Vivint Arena to take on the Utah Jazz on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Salt Lake City.
The Jazz are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-115).
The Mavericks vs Jazz Over/Under is 223.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 17-31 against the spread, while the Jazz are 28-23 against the spread.
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Mavericks vs. Jazz Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Dallas Mavericks | +7.5 -105 | O 223.5 -115 | +240 |
Utah Jazz | -7.5 -115 | U 223.5 -115 | -300 |
Jazz vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Jazz will win Saturday‘s game with 66.9% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Jazz will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Mavericks and Jazz, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
Bet now on Jazz vs Mavericks and all NBA games with BetMGM
Mavericks Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 63 of their last 100 games (+22.88 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 3Q Spread in 23 of their last 37 games (+7.74 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games (+7.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 47 of their last 85 games (+7.20 Units / 8% ROI)
Jazz Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Utah Jazz have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 45 of their last 71 games (+16.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Utah Jazz have hit the 2H Moneyline in 21 of their last 28 games (+14.14 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Utah Jazz have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 66 games (+12.81 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Utah Jazz have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 38 games at home (+10.43 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Utah Jazz have covered the 3Q Spread in 24 of their last 38 games at home (+9.00 Units / 22% ROI)
Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 17-31 (-17.05 Units / -31.03% ROI).
- 26-24 against the Moneyline (-18.75 Units / -17.75% ROI)
- 28-22 against the Over for game total points (+3.8 Units / 6.91% ROI)
- 22-28 against the Under for game total points (-8.8 Units / -16% ROI)
Utah Jazz Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Jazz have gone 28-23 (+2.7 Units / 4.81% ROI).
- 25-26 against the Moneyline (-5.65 Units / -6.89% ROI)
- 28-22 against the Over for game total points (+3.8 Units / 6.77% ROI)
- 22-28 against the Under for game total points (-8.8 Units / -15.69% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Jazz, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Utah Jazz have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 82 games (-36.05 Units / -36% ROI)
- The Utah Jazz have only covered the 4Q Spread in 31 of their last 82 games (-25.71 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 71 games (-23.75 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Utah Jazz have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 70 games (-22.21 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Utah Jazz have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 40 games (-19.78 Units / -38% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Mavericks, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 100 games (-35.41 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 86 games (-25.36 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 41 games (-24.54 Units / -42% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 44 of their last 95 games (-23.09 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 55 games (-22.30 Units / -20% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
- Keys to Winning for the Utah Jazz
- Player Injuries for Dallas Mavericks vs. Utah Jazz
- Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
- Utah Jazz Offensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats
- Utah Jazz Defensive stats
Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Utah Jazz
The Mavericks are 86-20 (.811) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .679
The Mavericks are 63-11 (.851) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .692
The Mavericks are 31-6 (.838) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .770
The Mavericks are 41-34 (.547) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .458
Utah Jazz: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks
The Jazz are winless (0-11) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .146
The Jazz are 19-28 (.404) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457
The Jazz are 13-10 (.565) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .515
The Jazz are 17-9 (.654) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .574
Injury Report: Jazz vs. Mavericks – Saturday‘s Game, Jan. 28
- Micah Potter (Jazz): The Jazz announced that Potter will be re-evaluated in 4-6 weeks.
- Kelly Olynyk (Jazz): Olynyk is questionable for Saturday’s (Jan.28) game against Dallas.
- Maxi Kleber (Mavericks): Kleber hopes to return prior to the All-Star break, according to Tim MacMahon of ESPN.com.
- Luka Doncic (Mavericks): Doncic is out for Saturday’s (Jan.28) game against Utah.
- Christian Wood (Mavericks): Wood suffered a fractured left thumb and will be re-evaluated in one week, according to Shams Charania of The Athletic.
Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have averaged 42.0 points in the paint per game (2,014 points/48 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.9
The Mavericks have averaged 42.0 points in the paint per game (2,688 points/64 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.7
The Mavericks have averaged 7.8 offensive rebounds per game (373 rebounds/48 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.5
The Mavericks have averaged 11.9 turnovers per game (572 turnovers/48 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8
Utah Jazz Offensive Stats & Trends
The Jazz have made 15.3 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5
The Jazz have made 15.7 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.6
The Jazz have averaged 1.36 points per shot (7,667 points/5,648 shots) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28
The Jazz have made 15.0 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.6
Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (251 blocks/66 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Mavericks have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (829 blocks/202 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Mavericks have averaged 30.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,481 rebounds/48 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0
The Mavericks have averaged 6.5 steals per game (1,317 steals/202 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
Utah Jazz Defensive Stats & Trends
The Jazz have averaged 35.6 defensive rebounds per game (7,223 rebounds/203 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.0
The Jazz have averaged 34.5 defensive rebounds per game (4,514 rebounds/131 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.7
The Jazz have averaged 6.9 steals per game (1,396 steals/203 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Jazz have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (302 blocks/66 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6
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