Mavericks vs Jazz Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 30

  • The Mavericks are -6.5 favorites vs. the Jazz
  • Total (Over/Under): 233.5 points
  • Watch the game on KFAA | KJZZ

The Dallas Mavericks visit Delta Center to take on the Utah Jazz on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30pm EST in Salt Lake City, UT.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Mavericks vs Jazz Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 10-8 against the spread, while the Jazz are 8-10 against the spread.


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Mavericks vs. Jazz Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dallas Mavericks O
Utah Jazz U

Jazz vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Saturday‘s game with 79.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Jazz.

Jazz vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Jazz will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 66.1% confidence.


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  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 61 of their last 94 games (+24.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the Spread in 46 of their last 74 games (+17.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 59 of their last 98 games (+16.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 4Q Spread in 24 of their last 33 away games (+14.50 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 29 away games (+13.87 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 45 of their last 73 games (+14.90 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Team Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+10.95 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 22 games (+8.12 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 21 games (+7.75 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have covered the 2Q Spread in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.90 Units / 26% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 10-8 (+1.2 Units / 5.74% ROI).

  • 11-8 against the Moneyline (+0.55 Units / 1.04% ROI)
  • 11-8 against the Over for game total points (+2.2 Units / 10.53% ROI)
  • 8-11 against the Under for game total points (-4.1 Units / -19.62% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Jazz have gone 8-10 (-3 Units / -15.15% ROI).

  • 4-14 against the Moneyline (-3.95 Units / -21.94% ROI)
  • 8-10 against the Over for game total points (-3 Units / -15.15% ROI)
  • 10-8 against the Under for game total points (+1.2 Units / 6.06% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 81 games (-27.45 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 26 of their last 73 games (-25.75 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only covered the 1Q Spread in 31 of their last 81 games (-24.45 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 78 games (-22.50 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 60 games (-19.10 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 96 games (-38.47 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 86 games (-26.50 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 100 games (-26.00 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 27 of their last 69 games (-21.55 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 40 of their last 86 games (-21.35 Units / -14% ROI)

Jump to:

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Utah Jazz

The Mavericks are 36-18 (.667) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .558

The Mavericks are undefeated (11-0) when forcing their opponent to shoot 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .895

The Mavericks were 6-4 (.600) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws last season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

The Mavericks are 38-11 (.776) when making 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .645

Utah Jazz: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Jazz were winless (0-5) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .414

The Jazz are winless (0-5) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .414

The Jazz are 0-8 (.000) when losing the rebounding margin this season — worst in the NBA. The Mavericks have averaged 53.4 rebounds/game this season — 10th-highest in the NBA.

The Jazz were 1-19 (.050) when their eFG is 50% or worse last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .178

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks have averaged 5.9 turnovers per game (587 turnovers/99 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Mavericks have averaged 6.0 turnovers per game (1,083 turnovers/181 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.9

The Mavericks have averaged 12.5 turnovers per game (2,269 turnovers/181 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

Utah Jazz Offensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz averaged 15.7 turnovers per game (1,285 turnovers/82 games) last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Jazz have averaged 8.2 turnovers per game (806 turnovers/98 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Jazz averaged 8.0 turnovers per game (655 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Jazz have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (389 assists/ 290 TOs) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks have averaged 4.4 blocks per game (398 blocks/90 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Mavericks have averaged 7.0 steals per game (342 steals/49 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Mavericks have averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (3,571 rebounds/99 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Utah Jazz Defensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz allowed 21.6 fast break points per game (884 points/41 games) on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.8

The Jazz averaged 6.5 steals per game (537 steals/82 games) last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Jazz have allowed 18.6 fast break points per game (1,819 points/98 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.6

The Jazz allowed 18.4 fast break points per game (1,510 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.