- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on ESPN
The Dallas Mavericks visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Sacramento, CA, CA.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Mavericks vs Kings Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 37-43 against the spread, while the Kings are 36-43 against the spread.
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Mavericks vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dallas Mavericks | O | ||
| Sacramento Kings | U |
Kings vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Kings will win Wednesday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Kings.
Kings vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
Bet now on Kings vs Mavericks and all NBA games with BetMGM
Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 41 away games (+12.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 68 games (+9.95 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 away games (+9.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 30 of their last 48 away games (+9.25 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 43 away games (+8.58 Units / 17% ROI)
Kings Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 29 games (+8.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 23 of their last 37 games at home (+7.85 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+7.30 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 37 games at home (+6.60 Units / 16% ROI)
Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 37-43 (-10.3 Units / -11.41% ROI).
- 39-43 against the Moneyline (-0.35 Units / -0.21% ROI)
- 45-36 against the Over for game total points (+5.4 Units / 5.99% ROI)
- 36-45 against the Under for game total points (-13.5 Units / -14.97% ROI)
Sacramento Kings Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 36-43 (-11.3 Units / -12.53% ROI).
- 40-42 against the Moneyline (-24.35 Units / -12.41% ROI)
- 42-39 against the Over for game total points (-0.9 Units / -1% ROI)
- 39-42 against the Under for game total points (-7.25 Units / -8.03% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Kings:
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 32 of their last 77 games (-30.90 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 83 games (-25.40 Units / -13% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 41 games at home (-18.68 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 1Q Spread in 31 of their last 77 games (-17.87 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 3Q Spread in 14 of their last 41 games at home (-16.00 Units / -34% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:
- The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 29 of their last 73 games (-22.10 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 68 games (-19.55 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 83 games (-18.38 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 41 away games (-16.70 Units / -37% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 50 away games (-16.50 Units / -29% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
- Keys to Winning for the Sacramento Kings
- Player Injuries for Dallas Mavericks vs. Sacramento Kings
- Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
- Sacramento Kings Offensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats
- Sacramento Kings Defensive stats
Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings
The Mavericks were 46-25 (.648) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .511
The Mavericks are 43-14 (.754) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .694
The Mavericks are 54-18 (.750) when making 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .647
The Mavericks are 21-10 (.677) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .615
Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks
The Kings were 38-22 (.633) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .511
The Kings are 24-14 (.632) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .557
The Kings are 1-17 (.056) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .187
The Kings are winless (0-12) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .103
Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Mavericks had an eFG% of 56% last season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%
The Mavericks averaged 119.2 points per game (9,772 points/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3
The Mavericks have made 12.4 three-pointers per game this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5
Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends
The Kings averaged 16.8 offensive rebounds per game (1,380 rebounds/82 games) last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.2
The Kings had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (2,324 assists/ 1,078 TOs) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0
The Kings averaged 116.6 points per game (9,558 points/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3
The Kings shot 74% from the free throw line (1,274/1,710) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have averaged 7.4 steals per game (1,208 steals/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Mavericks have blocked 445 shots this season — 7th most among NBA teams
The Mavericks have averaged 5.4 blocks per game (440 blocks/81 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Mavericks averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends
The Kings allowed 10.9 second chance points per game (891 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8
The Kings allowed 11.1 second chance points per game (455 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6
The Kings allowed 5.3 second chance points per game (436 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.1
The Kings allowed 14.5 offensive rebounds per game (1,190 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.2
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