Mavericks vs Kings Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Dec. 27

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  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The Dallas Mavericks visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 5:00pm EST in Sacramento, CA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Mavericks vs Kings Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 15-17 against the spread, while the Kings are 11-19 against the spread.


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Mavericks vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dallas Mavericks O
Sacramento Kings U

Kings vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Saturday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Kings.

Kings vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 61.7% confidence.


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  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 35 away games (+13.35 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 13 games (+10.85 Units / 73% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+10.35 Units / 73% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 36 away games (+9.80 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 36 games (+9.45 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 68 games (+10.15 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 37 games (+9.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 2H Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 games (+7.25 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.25 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+6.95 Units / 30% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 15-17 (-3.75 Units / -10.64% ROI).

  • 12-20 against the Moneyline (-5.3 Units / -12.35% ROI)
  • 15-17 against the Over for game total points (-3.7 Units / -10.51% ROI)
  • 17-15 against the Under for game total points (+0.5 Units / 1.42% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 11-19 (-9.9 Units / -30% ROI).

  • 7-23 against the Moneyline (-3.9 Units / -12.15% ROI)
  • 14-16 against the Over for game total points (-3.6 Units / -10.91% ROI)
  • 16-14 against the Under for game total points (+0.6 Units / 1.82% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 76 games (-27.60 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 18 of their last 54 games (-23.65 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 70 games (-21.45 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 54 games (-21.40 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 68 games (-20.75 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 84 games (-22.65 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 73 games (-19.20 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the Spread in 35 of their last 85 games (-18.95 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 2Q Spread in 37 of their last 85 games (-17.25 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 1H Spread in 36 of their last 85 games (-16.75 Units / -17% ROI)

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Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Mavericks are 5-11 (.312) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .415

The Mavericks are 4-16 (.200) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .458

The Mavericks were 34-12 (.739) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Mavericks are 4-7 (.364) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .519

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Mavericks have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (191 blocks/32 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Mavericks have allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (367/1,115) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Mavericks have averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,185 rebounds/32 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9

The Mavericks have averaged 5.7 blocks per game (565 blocks/99 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks are 5-11 (.312) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .415

The Mavericks are 4-16 (.200) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .458

The Mavericks were 34-12 (.739) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Mavericks are 4-7 (.364) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .519

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (191 blocks/32 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Mavericks have allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (367/1,115) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Mavericks have averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,185 rebounds/32 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9

The Mavericks have averaged 5.7 blocks per game (565 blocks/99 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks are 5-11 (.312) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .415

The Mavericks are 4-16 (.200) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .458

The Mavericks were 34-12 (.739) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Mavericks are 4-7 (.364) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .519

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (191 blocks/32 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Mavericks have allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (367/1,115) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Mavericks have averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,185 rebounds/32 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9

The Mavericks have averaged 5.7 blocks per game (565 blocks/99 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.