Mavericks vs Kings Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 6

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  • The Mavericks are -4.5 favorites vs. the Kings
  • Total (Over/Under): 233.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBC | PEAC | KFAA

The Dallas Mavericks visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 11:00pm EST in Sacramento, CA.

The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Mavericks vs Kings Over/Under is 233.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 16-20 against the spread, while the Kings are 12-24 against the spread.


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Mavericks vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dallas Mavericks-4.5 -115O 233.5 -110-190
Sacramento Kings +4.5 -105U 233.5 -110155

Kings vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Tuesday‘s game with 51.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Kings.

Kings vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 52.5% confidence.


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  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 37 away games (+13.20 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 17 games (+10.50 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 12 games (+9.85 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 38 away games (+9.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 16 games (+9.50 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Team Total Under in 47 of their last 74 games (+16.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.80 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+8.15 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 69 games (+7.25 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.20 Units / 27% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 16-20 (-6.05 Units / -15.26% ROI).

  • 13-23 against the Moneyline (-6.15 Units / -12.99% ROI)
  • 16-20 against the Over for game total points (-6 Units / -15.15% ROI)
  • 20-16 against the Under for game total points (+2.4 Units / 6.06% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 12-24 (-14.4 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • 8-28 against the Moneyline (-7.65 Units / -20.08% ROI)
  • 16-20 against the Over for game total points (-6 Units / -15.15% ROI)
  • 20-16 against the Under for game total points (+2.4 Units / 6.06% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 82 games (-31.45 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 18 of their last 60 games (-30.40 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 74 games (-27.70 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 60 games (-27.55 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 76 games (-25.20 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 78 games (-20.85 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 1H Spread in 34 of their last 83 games (-18.75 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 37 away games (-18.70 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the Spread in 25 of their last 63 games (-16.85 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 30 of their last 83 games (-16.20 Units / -15% ROI)

Jump to:

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Kings have averaged 110.3 points per game (3,970 points/36 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 116.6

The Kings have an eFG% of 51% at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Kings have made 10.5 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

The Kings have averaged 53.4 points per game (1,921 points/36 games) in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 57.2

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Mavericks are shooting 34% from three (383/1,143) this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Mavericks are shooting 32% from three (187/581) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks have made 10.6 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have averaged 110.3 points per game (3,970 points/36 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 116.6

The Kings have an eFG% of 51% at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Kings have made 10.5 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

The Kings have averaged 53.4 points per game (1,921 points/36 games) in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 57.2

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks are shooting 34% from three (383/1,143) this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Mavericks are shooting 32% from three (187/581) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks have made 10.6 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have averaged 110.3 points per game (3,970 points/36 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 116.6

The Kings have an eFG% of 51% at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Kings have made 10.5 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

The Kings have averaged 53.4 points per game (1,921 points/36 games) in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 57.2

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks are shooting 34% from three (383/1,143) this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Mavericks are shooting 32% from three (187/581) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks have made 10.6 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.