Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Lakers Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Jan. 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 12, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Mavericks (23-19) are -3.5 favorites vs. the Lakers (19-22)
  • Total (Over/Under): 235.5 points
  • Thursday, January 12, 2023 at 10:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on SportsNet LA & TNT

The Dallas Mavericks visit Crypto.com Arena to take on the Los Angeles Lakers on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Los Angeles.

The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).

The Mavericks vs Lakers Over/Under is 235.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 14-26 against the spread, while the Lakers are 18-21 against the spread.


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Mavericks vs. Lakers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dallas Mavericks-3.5 -105O 235.5 -115-150
Los Angeles Lakers +3.5 -115U 235.5 -115+125

Lakers vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Thursday‘s game with 58.1% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Lakers will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 52.2% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Mavericks and Lakers, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 59 of their last 92 games (+23.43 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games (+8.95 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 43 of their last 77 games (+6.55 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 44 games (+6.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 3Q Spread in 18 of their last 29 games (+6.06 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 40 games (+19.58 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 47 of their last 74 games (+17.01 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 2Q Spread in 28 of their last 38 games (+16.56 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 34 games at home (+15.20 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 1H Spread in 31 of their last 46 games (+14.60 Units / 29% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 14-26 (-14.55 Units / -31.53% ROI).

  • 23-19 against the Moneyline (-14.55 Units / -15.32% ROI)
  • 24-18 against the Over for game total points (+4.2 Units / 9.09% ROI)
  • 18-24 against the Under for game total points (-8.4 Units / -18.18% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 18-21 (-5.15 Units / -11.41% ROI).

  • 19-22 against the Moneyline (+2.6 Units / 5.22% ROI)
  • 24-17 against the Over for game total points (+5.3 Units / 11.75% ROI)
  • 17-24 against the Under for game total points (-9.4 Units / -20.84% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 82 games (-27.73 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 78 games (-23.20 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 82 games (-21.21 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 82 games (-18.80 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 34 games at home (-18.30 Units / -49% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 100 games (-35.03 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 49 of their last 99 games (-19.80 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 33 games (-19.18 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 78 games (-18.96 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 27 away games (-18.15 Units / -43% ROI)

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Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Mavericks are 25-12 (.676) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

The Mavericks are 22-6 (.786) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .506

The Mavericks are 35-19 (.648) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Mavericks are 46-21 (.687) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Lakers are 11-25 (.306) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .555

The Lakers are 3-12 (.200) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .481

The Lakers are 5-8 (.385) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .479

The Lakers are 27-36 (.429) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

Injury Report: Lakers vs. MavericksThursday‘s Game, Jan. 12

  • Austin Reaves (Lakers): The Lakers announced that Reaves will be re-evaluated in two weeks as he deals with a left hamstring strain.
  • Lonnie Walker IV (Lakers): The Lakers announced that Walker IV will be re-evaluated in two weeks as he deals with left knee tendinitis.
  • LeBron James (Lakers): James is probable for Thursday’s (Jan. 12) game against Dallas.
  • Troy Brown Jr. (Lakers): Brown Jr. is probable for Thursday’s (Jan. 12) game against Dallas.
  • Patrick Beverley (Lakers): Beverly is questionable for Thursday’s (Jan. 12) game against Dallas.
  • Anthony Davis (Lakers): The Lakers announced that Davis is dealing with a stress injury in his right foot. The team announced that there is no timetable for his return.
  • Maxi Kleber (Mavericks): The Mavericks announced that Kleber underwent surgery for a right hamstring tear and there’s no timetable for his return.
  • Josh Green (Mavericks): Green hasn’t played since Dec. 9 against Milwaukee. A timetable for his return hasn’t been announced.
  • Dwight Powell (Mavericks): Powell is questionable for Thursday’s (Jan. 12) game against the Lakers.
  • Dorian Finney-Smith (Mavericks): Mavericks coach Jason Kidd said Finney-Smith will miss at least another couple weeks, according to NBA writer Marc Stein.

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 7.9 assists per game (95 assists/12 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 11.8

The Mavericks have averaged 49.9 points per game (599 points/12 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54.7

The Mavericks have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (95 assists/ 88 TOs) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Mavericks have a 32% free throw rate (321 free throw attempts/991 field goal attempts) this season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers are shooting 31% from three (124/404) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Lakers are shooting 32% from three (67/208) in the first half this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Lakers have made 9.5 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.2

The Lakers have averaged 55.5 points in the paint per game (722 points/13 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.9

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (1,106 steals/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Mavericks have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (327 blocks/84 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Mavericks have averaged 31.1 defensive rebounds per game (373 rebounds/12 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.2

The Mavericks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (552 steals/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 5.8 blocks per game (284 blocks/49 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Lakers have blocked 867 shots since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Lakers have averaged 34.6 defensive rebounds per game (450 rebounds/13 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.1

The Lakers have averaged 8.1 steals per game (396 steals/49 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.