- The Lakers (34-36) are -5.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks (35-35)
- Total (Over/Under): 226.5 points
- Friday, March 17, 2023 at 10:30pm EDT
- Watch the game on SportsNet LA & BSSW
The Dallas Mavericks visit Crypto.com Arena to take on the Los Angeles Lakers on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EDT in Los Angeles.
The Lakers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).
The Mavericks vs Lakers Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 25-42 against the spread, while the Lakers are 34-34 against the spread.
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Mavericks vs. Lakers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Dallas Mavericks | +4.5 -110 | O 228.5 -105 | +165 |
Los Angeles Lakers | -4.5 -110 | U 228.5 -105 | -200 |
Lakers vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Lakers will win Friday‘s game with 62.1% confidence.
Lakers vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Lakers will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Mavericks and Lakers, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
Bet now on Lakers vs Mavericks and all NBA games with BetMGM
Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 65 games (+8.20 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2H Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+7.88 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 22 away games (+6.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Over in 54 of their last 96 games (+6.00 Units / 5% ROI)
Lakers Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 4Q Spread in 41 of their last 58 games (+21.73 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 47 games (+15.91 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 58 games (+14.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 69 games (+14.46 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 2Q Spread in 41 of their last 67 games (+11.73 Units / 16% ROI)
Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 25-42 (-21.15 Units / -27.49% ROI).
- 35-35 against the Moneyline (-21.15 Units / -14.04% ROI)
- 38-31 against the Over for game total points (+3.9 Units / 5.06% ROI)
- 31-38 against the Under for game total points (-10.8 Units / -14.03% ROI)
Los Angeles Lakers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 34-34 (-3.45 Units / -4.48% ROI).
- 34-36 against the Moneyline (+5.7 Units / 6.45% ROI)
- 34-35 against the Over for game total points (-4.5 Units / -5.84% ROI)
- 35-34 against the Under for game total points (-2.4 Units / -3.12% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Lakers:
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 83 games (-18.25 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 83 games (-14.26 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 34 games (-14.25 Units / -38% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 80 games (-12.40 Units / -14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 25 games at home (-11.49 Units / -40% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 61 games (-30.29 Units / -35% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 75 games (-24.70 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the Spread in 26 of their last 75 games (-24.55 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 2Q Spread in 21 of their last 61 games (-23.40 Units / -35% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 85 games (-22.44 Units / -22% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
- Keys to Winning for the Los Angeles Lakers
- Player Injuries for Dallas Mavericks vs. Los Angeles Lakers
- Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
- Los Angeles Lakers Offensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats
- Los Angeles Lakers Defensive stats
Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers
The Mavericks are 25-1 (.962) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .773
The Mavericks are 42-10 (.808) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .767
The Mavericks are 44-41 (.518) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .456
The Mavericks are 32-7 (.821) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .770
Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks
The Los Angeles Lakers are 9-22 (.290) when losing the rebounding margin this season — eighth-worst among NBA teams. The New Orleans Pelicans have averaged 51.9 rebounds per game (3,528 rebounds/68 games) this season — 10th-highest among NBA teams.
The Lakers are winless (0-15) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .120
The Lakers are 31-66 (.320) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .350
The Lakers are 7-27 (.206) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .276
Injury Report: Lakers vs. Mavericks – Friday‘s Game, Mar. 17
- LeBron James (Lakers): The Lakers announced that James sustained a right foot tendon injury and will be re-evaluated in about three weeks.
- Anthony Davis (Lakers): Davis is probable for Friday’s (Mar.17) game against Dallas.
- Mo Bamba (Lakers): The Lakers announced that Bamba has a high left ankle sprain and will be re-evaluated in about four weeks.
- Markieff Morris (Mavericks): Morris is questionable for Friday’s (Mar.17) game against Los Angeles.
- Tim Hardaway Jr. (Mavericks): Hardaway Jr. is questionable for Friday’s (Mar.17) game against Los Angeles.
- Luka Doncic (Mavericks): Doncic is out for Friday’s (Mar.17) game against Los Angeles.
- Kyrie Irving (Mavericks): Irving is questionable for Friday’s (Mar.17) game against Los Angeles.
- JaVale McGee (Mavericks): McGee is questionable for Friday’s (Mar.17) game against Los Angeles.
Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have averaged 39.8 points in the paint per game (1,354 points/34 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.8
The Mavericks have averaged 42.6 points in the paint per game (6,474 points/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.6
The Mavericks have averaged 9.2 fast break points per game (312 points/34 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6
The Mavericks have averaged 12.4 turnovers per game (1,892 turnovers/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0
Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Lakers have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (261 assists/ 126 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.5
The Lakers averaged 109.5 points per game (7,887 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8
The Lakers shot 35% from three (796/2,248) in the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%
The Lakers have made 10.6 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3
Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (579 blocks/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Mavericks have averaged 6.6 steals per game (1,003 steals/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Mavericks have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (426 blocks/113 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Mavericks have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (890 blocks/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Lakers have averaged 38.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,590 rebounds/68 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Lakers have averaged 37.4 defensive rebounds per game (5,609 rebounds/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.8
The Lakers have averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (8,261 rebounds/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36.0
The Lakers have averaged 5.1 blocks per game (1,123 blocks/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
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