Mavericks vs Nuggets Player Prop Bets Tonight – NBA, Mar. 25

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The Dallas Mavericks visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00 pm in Denver, CO.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Mavericks vs Nuggets Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 31-41 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 40-32 against the spread.

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Mavericks vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Nuggets vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Wednesday‘s game with 78.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Nuggets.

Nuggets vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.

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Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 50 games (+16.40 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games (+10.30 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 19 away games (+8.50 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 88% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 away games (+5.81 Units / 20% ROI)

Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 35 games at home (+10.40 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games at home (+9.25 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games at home (+9.05 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have covered the 2Q Spread in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+8.55 Units / 50% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+8.25 Units / 20% ROI)

Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 31-41 (-14.15 Units / -17.85% ROI).

• 23-49 against the Moneyline (-15.35 Units / -16.87% ROI)
• 32-40 against the Over for game total points (-12 Units / -15.15% ROI)
• 40-32 against the Under for game total points (+4.8 Units / 6.06% ROI)

Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 40-32 (+4.8 Units / 6.06% ROI).

• 45-27 against the Moneyline (+5.6 Units / 2.98% ROI)
• 45-27 against the Over for game total points (+15.33 Units / 19.36% ROI)
• 27-45 against the Under for game total points (-22.5 Units / -28.39% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:

• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 30 games at home (-18.46 Units / -36% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 30 games at home (-14.40 Units / -30% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2H Spread in 12 of their last 35 games at home (-14.32 Units / -35% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 30 games at home (-13.40 Units / -38% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 24 games at home (-12.75 Units / -46% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:

• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 50 games (-23.35 Units / -41% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 8 of their last 30 games (-17.45 Units / -51% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 16 of their last 45 games (-17.35 Units / -33% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 50 games (-15.85 Units / -28% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 35 games (-15.35 Units / -38% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
• Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
• Player Injuries for Dallas Mavericks vs. Denver Nuggets
• Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
• Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
• Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats
• Denver Nuggets Defensive stats

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Mavericks are 5-6 (.455) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .596

The Mavericks are 2-10 (.167) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .221

The Mavericks are 9-55 (.141) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .195

The Mavericks are 5-21 (.192) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .441

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Nuggets are 36-7 (.837) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .619

The Nuggets were 5-1 (.833) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

The Nuggets are 13-2 (.867) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .628

The Nuggets are 33-12 (.733) when turning the ball over fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-4th-best in the NBA. The Mavericks have forced 13.4 turnovers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-7th-lowest in the NBA.

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have a TS% of 50% this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks have a TS% of 49% in the first half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Mavericks have made 10.8 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 1.39 points per shot (8,823 points/6,350 shots) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Nuggets have averaged 1.41 points per shot (4,799 points/3,394 shots) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.29

The Nuggets are shooting 39% from three (1,011/2,576) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Nuggets averaged 58.5 points in the paint per game (4,796 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.0

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks have averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,660 rebounds/72 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9

The Mavericks averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Mavericks averaged 7.8 steals per game (636 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 6.8 steals per game (499 steals/73 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Nuggets have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (285 blocks/73 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Nuggets have forced 11.9 turnovers per game (868 turnovers/73 games) this season — lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.5

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