- The Nuggets (14-9) are -5.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks (12-11)
- Total (Over/Under): 222.5 points
- Tuesday, December 6, 2022 at 10:00pm EST
- Watch the game on TNT & BSSW
The Dallas Mavericks visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Denver.
The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).
The Mavericks vs Nuggets Over/Under is 222.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 7-15 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 11-12 against the spread.
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Mavericks vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Dallas Mavericks | +5.5 -115 | O 222.5 -110 | +165 |
Denver Nuggets | -5.5 -105 | U 222.5 -110 | -200 |
Nuggets vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Tuesday‘s game with 61.5% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.4% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Mavericks and Nuggets, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Mavericks Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 67 of their last 100 games (+31.46 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 1Q Spread in 54 of their last 93 games (+11.05 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 38 away games (+7.66 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 45 games (+7.50 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 24 away games (+7.20 Units / 27% ROI)
Nuggets Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 52 of their last 88 games (+12.15 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 44 of their last 75 games (+11.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 71 games (+11.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 49 of their last 87 games (+10.35 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+9.80 Units / 25% ROI)
Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 7-15 (-9.5 Units / -37.55% ROI).
- 12-11 against the Moneyline (-16.35 Units / -29.09% ROI)
- 14-9 against the Over for game total points (+4.1 Units / 16.21% ROI)
- 9-14 against the Under for game total points (-6.4 Units / -25.3% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 11-12 (-2.2 Units / -8.7% ROI).
- 14-9 against the Moneyline (-0.6 Units / -1.02% ROI)
- 11-12 against the Over for game total points (-2.2 Units / -8.7% ROI)
- 12-11 against the Under for game total points (-0.1 Units / -0.4% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Nuggets, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 35 of their last 88 games (-42.04 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 88 games (-26.20 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 24 games at home (-22.40 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 36 of their last 88 games (-20.86 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 35 of their last 87 games (-19.00 Units / -20% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Mavericks, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 100 games (-43.69 Units / -39% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 28 games (-19.90 Units / -32% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 47 of their last 97 games (-19.69 Units / -14% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 75 games (-14.85 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 50 away games (-14.13 Units / -23% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Player Injuries for Dallas Mavericks vs. Denver Nuggets
- Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Mavericks are 25-12 (.676) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461
The Mavericks are 22-6 (.786) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .506
The Mavericks are 35-19 (.648) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
The Mavericks are 46-21 (.687) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks
The Nuggets are 51-19 (.729) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .568
The Nuggets are 33-11 (.750) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .548
The Nuggets are 28-15 (.651) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543
The Nuggets are 17-6 (.739) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .510
Injury Report: Nuggets vs. Mavericks – Tuesday‘s Game, Dec. 6
- Peyton Watson (Nuggets): Watson is questionable for Tuesday’s (Dec. 6) game against Dallas.
- Michael Porter Jr. (Nuggets): Nuggets coach Michael Malone said that Porter doesn’t have a timeframe for a return.
- Collin Gillespie (Nuggets): The Nuggets announced that Gillespie is out indefinitely after undergoing surgery to repair a lower left leg fracture.
- Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (Nuggets): Caldwell-Pope is questionable for Tuesday’s (Dec. 6) game against Dallas.
- Jeff Green (Nuggets): Green is questionable for Tuesday’s (Dec. 6) game against Dallas.
- Dallas Mavericks – No Injuries Reported
Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have averaged 7.9 assists per game (95 assists/12 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 11.8
The Mavericks have averaged 49.9 points per game (599 points/12 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54.7
The Mavericks have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (95 assists/ 88 TOs) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Mavericks have a 32% free throw rate (321 free throw attempts/991 field goal attempts) this season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets are shooting 51% (2,136/4,216) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Nuggets are shooting 51% (3,791/7,476) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Nuggets are shooting 44% from three (61/138) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Nuggets are shooting 42% from three (171/404) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (1,106 steals/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
The Mavericks have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (327 blocks/84 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Mavericks have averaged 31.1 defensive rebounds per game (373 rebounds/12 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.2
The Mavericks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (552 steals/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (158 blocks/45 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Nuggets have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (348 blocks/86 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Nuggets have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (196 blocks/50 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6
The Nuggets have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (329 blocks/81 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
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