Mavericks vs Pacers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 27

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 27, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Mavericks (36-39) are -1.5 favorites vs. the Pacers (33-42)
  • Total (Over/Under): 233.5 points
  • Monday, March 27, 2023 at 7:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on NBA TV & NBA TV

The Dallas Mavericks visit Gainbridge Fieldhouse to take on the Indiana Pacers on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Indianapolis.

The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Mavericks vs Pacers Over/Under is 237.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 28-44 against the spread, while the Pacers are 39-36 against the spread.


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Mavericks vs. Pacers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dallas Mavericks-5.5 -110O 237.5 -110-210
Indiana Pacers +5.5 -110U 237.5 -110+170

Pacers vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Monday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

Pacers vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Mavericks and Pacers, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 70 games (+9.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 36 away games (+8.55 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 away games (+7.84 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2H Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 games (+6.88 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 away games (+6.10 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have covered the 2Q Spread in 49 of their last 82 games (+14.02 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 62 games (+13.41 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 70 games (+12.90 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 39 games at home (+12.74 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 70 games (+11.25 Units / 14% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 28-44 (-20.35 Units / -24.7% ROI).

  • 36-39 against the Moneyline (-40.15 Units / -23.33% ROI)
  • 39-35 against the Over for game total points (+0.5 Units / 0.61% ROI)
  • 35-39 against the Under for game total points (-7.9 Units / -9.58% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 39-36 (-0.6 Units / -0.73% ROI).

  • 33-42 against the Moneyline (+9.65 Units / 10.41% ROI)
  • 37-37 against the Over for game total points (-3.7 Units / -4.48% ROI)
  • 37-37 against the Under for game total points (-3.7 Units / -4.48% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 82 games (-35.80 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 28 of their last 82 games (-30.70 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 16 of their last 57 games (-25.71 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 62 games (-22.07 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 57 games (-20.12 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 80 games (-43.70 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 66 games (-31.39 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 44 of their last 98 games (-27.35 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 90 games (-24.32 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 59 games (-23.95 Units / -25% ROI)

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Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Mavericks are 25-1 (.962) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .773

The Mavericks are 42-10 (.808) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .767

The Mavericks are 44-41 (.518) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

The Mavericks are 32-7 (.821) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .770

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Indiana Pacers are 9-37 (.196) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-worst among NBA teams. The Milwaukee Bucks made 14.4 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for second-highest among NBA teams.

The Indiana Pacers are 19-54 (.260) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — seventh-worst among NBA teams. The Milwaukee Bucks have averaged 55.9 rebounds per game (8,440 rebounds/151 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — second-highest among NBA teams.

The Pacers are 18-35 (.340) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .450

The Pacers are 27-49 (.355) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .459

Injury Report: Pacers vs. MavericksMonday‘s Game, Mar. 27

  • Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers): Haliburton is questionable for Monday’s (Mar. 27) game against Dallas.
  • Chris Duarte (Pacers): Duarte is out for Monday’s (Mar. 27) game against Dallas.
  • Kendall Brown (Pacers): Brown underwent surgery and is out indefinitely, according to Tony East of SI.com.
  • Myles Turner (Pacers): Turner is questionable for Monday’s (Mar. 27) game against Dallas.
  • Dallas Mavericks – No Injuries Reported

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 39.8 points in the paint per game (1,354 points/34 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.8

The Mavericks have averaged 42.6 points in the paint per game (6,474 points/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.6

The Mavericks have averaged 9.2 fast break points per game (312 points/34 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Mavericks have averaged 12.4 turnovers per game (1,892 turnovers/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 18.6 fast break points per game (1,282 points/69 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Pacers have averaged 16.0 fast break points per game (3,564 points/223 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.9

The Pacers have averaged 10.1 fast break points per game (699 points/69 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Pacers have averaged 17.7 fast break points per game (602 points/34 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (579 blocks/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Mavericks have averaged 6.6 steals per game (1,003 steals/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Mavericks have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (426 blocks/113 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Mavericks have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (890 blocks/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (661 blocks/111 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Pacers have averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,304 rebounds/69 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (1,331 blocks/223 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (414 blocks/69 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.