Mavericks vs Pelicans Player Prop Bets Tonight – NBA, Mar. 16

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
• Watch the game on KFAA | GCSE

The Dallas Mavericks visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00 pm in New Orleans, LA.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Mavericks vs Pelicans Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 30-38 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 39-29 against the spread.

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Mavericks vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pelicans vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pelicans will win Monday‘s game with 75.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Pelicans.

Pelicans vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 69.5% confidence.

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Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 45 games (+15.80 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 away games (+7.50 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 24 away games (+6.98 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 54% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 away games (+6.25 Units / 63% ROI)

Pelicans Best Bets for Tonight:

• The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+11.80 Units / 45% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 3Q Spread in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+9.30 Units / 37% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the Spread in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+7.50 Units / 17% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.25 Units / 18% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+6.95 Units / 26% ROI)

Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 30-38 (-11.85 Units / -15.83% ROI).

• 23-45 against the Moneyline (-11.35 Units / -13.05% ROI)
• 29-39 against the Over for game total points (-13.9 Units / -18.58% ROI)
• 39-29 against the Under for game total points (+7.1 Units / 9.49% ROI)

New Orleans Pelicans Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 39-29 (+7.1 Units / 9.49% ROI).

• 22-46 against the Moneyline (-14.25 Units / -17.18% ROI)
• 35-33 against the Over for game total points (-1.3 Units / -1.74% ROI)
• 33-35 against the Under for game total points (-5.5 Units / -7.35% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pelicans:

• The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 4Q Spread in 19 of their last 50 games (-17.40 Units / -30% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 35 games (-13.10 Units / -32% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 40 games at home (-11.90 Units / -26% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 40 games (-11.85 Units / -26% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 45 games (-11.60 Units / -23% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:

• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 45 games (-21.95 Units / -43% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.60 Units / -29% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 10 of their last 30 games (-13.05 Units / -38% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the Spread in 15 of their last 40 away games (-12.50 Units / -28% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 23 games (-11.50 Units / -44% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
• Keys to Winning for the New Orleans Pelicans
• Player Injuries for Dallas Mavericks vs. New Orleans Pelicans
• Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
• New Orleans Pelicans Offensive stats
• Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats
• New Orleans Pelicans Defensive stats

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Mavericks are 5-20 (.200) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .446

The Mavericks are 8-28 (.222) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431

The Mavericks are 11-28 (.282) when they lose the turnover margin this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .394

The Mavericks are 12-20 (.375) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Pelicans are winless (0-10) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .402

The Pelicans are 1-17 (.056) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .311

The Pelicans were 2-10 (.167) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

The Pelicans are 1-18 (.053) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .433

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks are shooting 75% from the free throw line (1,294/1,732) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Mavericks have made 10.7 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

The Mavericks have a TS% of 49% this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 61.2 points in the paint per game (2,082 points/34 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

The Pelicans have averaged 57.4 points in the paint per game (3,902 points/68 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.5

The Pelicans shot 41% from three (567/1,401) in the first half in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans are shooting 33% from three (356/1,075) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Mavericks averaged 7.8 steals per game (636 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Mavericks have blocked 356 shots this season — 9th most among NBA teams

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans allowed a TS% of 55% on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

The Pelicans averaged 8.3 steals per game (684 steals/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Pelicans averaged 33.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,746 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Pelicans averaged 5.2 blocks per game (429 blocks/82 games) last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

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