Mavericks vs Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Dec. 22

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The Dallas Mavericks visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in New Orleans, LA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Mavericks vs Pelicans Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 14-15 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 19-10 against the spread.


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Mavericks vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dallas Mavericks O
New Orleans Pelicans U

Pelicans vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Monday‘s game with 62.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Pelicans.

Pelicans vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 55.2% confidence.


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  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 33 away games (+13.55 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+10.50 Units / 95% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Over in their last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 34 away games (+9.90 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.55 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Game Total Over in 49 of their last 82 games (+13.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 games (+12.15 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 23 games (+10.40 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 4Q Spread in 27 of their last 43 games at home (+8.95 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 11 games at home (+8.85 Units / 70% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 14-15 (-2.55 Units / -7.98% ROI).

  • 11-18 against the Moneyline (-5.15 Units / -12.96% ROI)
  • 13-16 against the Over for game total points (-4.6 Units / -14.42% ROI)
  • 16-13 against the Under for game total points (+1.7 Units / 5.33% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 19-10 (+8 Units / 25.08% ROI).

  • 7-22 against the Moneyline (-9.55 Units / -31.94% ROI)
  • 18-11 against the Over for game total points (+5.9 Units / 18.5% ROI)
  • 11-18 against the Under for game total points (-8.8 Units / -27.59% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 82 games (-21.90 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 82 games (-20.80 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 1Q Spread in 27 of their last 68 games (-19.30 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 82 games (-18.75 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 66 games (-18.25 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 81 games (-21.65 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 84 games (-18.90 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 33 away games (-18.40 Units / -49% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 2Q Spread in 36 of their last 84 games (-18.25 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 30 of their last 84 games (-18.00 Units / -16% ROI)

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Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Mavericks are 1-5 (.167) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .332

The Mavericks were 16-1 (.941) when assisting on 30 or more field goals in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .697

The Mavericks were 36-10 (.783) when making 15 or more three-pointers in the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646

The Mavericks were 34-12 (.739) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Pelicans are 2-13 (.133) when losing the rebounding margin this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .380

The Pelicans were 2-10 (.167) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

The Pelicans are 3-11 (.214) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .472

The Pelicans were 14-53 (.209) when allowing 110 or more points last season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .340

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks are 1-5 (.167) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .332

The Mavericks were 16-1 (.941) when assisting on 30 or more field goals in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .697

The Mavericks were 36-10 (.783) when making 15 or more three-pointers in the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646

The Mavericks were 34-12 (.739) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans are 2-13 (.133) when losing the rebounding margin this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .380

The Pelicans were 2-10 (.167) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

The Pelicans are 3-11 (.214) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .472

The Pelicans were 14-53 (.209) when allowing 110 or more points last season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .340

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks are 1-5 (.167) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .332

The Mavericks were 16-1 (.941) when assisting on 30 or more field goals in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .697

The Mavericks were 36-10 (.783) when making 15 or more three-pointers in the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646

The Mavericks were 34-12 (.739) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans are 2-13 (.133) when losing the rebounding margin this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .380

The Pelicans were 2-10 (.167) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

The Pelicans are 3-11 (.214) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .472

The Pelicans were 14-53 (.209) when allowing 110 or more points last season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .340


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.