- The Mavericks (34-32) are -1.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans (31-34)
- Total (Over/Under): 233.5 points
- Wednesday, March 8, 2023 at 7:30pm EST
- Watch the game on BSNO & BSSW
The Dallas Mavericks visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in New Orleans.
The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).
The Mavericks vs Pelicans Over/Under is 233.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 23-40 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 29-35 against the spread.
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Mavericks vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Dallas Mavericks | -2.5 -105 | O 233.5 -115 | -140 |
New Orleans Pelicans | +2.5 -115 | U 233.5 -115 | +115 |
Pelicans vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Wednesday‘s game with 51.8% confidence.
Pelicans vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Mavericks and Pelicans, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 30 away games (+11.02 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+10.50 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 68 games (+8.20 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.75 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Over in 52 of their last 92 games (+6.40 Units / 6% ROI)
Pelicans Best Bets for Tonight:
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 57 games (+21.09 Units / 33% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 25 games (+18.81 Units / 64% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 25 games (+12.60 Units / 46% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 23 games (+11.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 37 of their last 61 games (+11.70 Units / 17% ROI)
Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 23-40 (-20.95 Units / -28.88% ROI).
- 34-32 against the Moneyline (-18.8 Units / -12.91% ROI)
- 37-28 against the Over for game total points (+6.2 Units / 8.54% ROI)
- 28-37 against the Under for game total points (-12.7 Units / -17.49% ROI)
New Orleans Pelicans Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 29-35 (-9.5 Units / -13.3% ROI).
- 31-34 against the Moneyline (-11.2 Units / -10.47% ROI)
- 33-32 against the Over for game total points (-2.2 Units / -3.08% ROI)
- 32-33 against the Under for game total points (-4.3 Units / -6.01% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pelicans:
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 59 games (-28.80 Units / -43% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 84 games (-21.80 Units / -23% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 22 of their last 56 games (-20.82 Units / -29% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 56 games (-20.17 Units / -29% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 35 of their last 86 games (-20.15 Units / -21% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 57 games (-27.57 Units / -33% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the Spread in 24 of their last 71 games (-24.35 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 100 games (-22.96 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 81 games (-22.44 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 71 games (-22.35 Units / -15% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
- Keys to Winning for the New Orleans Pelicans
- Player Injuries for Dallas Mavericks vs. New Orleans Pelicans
- Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
- New Orleans Pelicans Offensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats
- New Orleans Pelicans Defensive stats
Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans
The Mavericks are 36-19 (.655) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550
The Mavericks are 20-5 (.800) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566
The Mavericks are 43-38 (.531) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .457
The Mavericks are 44-22 (.667) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .539
New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks
The New Orleans Pelicans are 7-30 (.189) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-worst among NBA teams. The Golden State Warriors made 15.3 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — highest among NBA teams.
The New Orleans Pelicans are 4-19 (.174) when losing the rebounding margin this season — fourth-worst among NBA teams. The Golden State Warriors have averaged 44.6 rebounds per game (2,676 rebounds/60 games) this season — ninth-highest among NBA teams.
The New Orleans Pelicans are 10-40 (.200) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for fifth-worst among NBA teams. The Golden State Warriors have averaged 45.1 rebounds per game (6,406 rebounds/142 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-highest among NBA teams.
The Pelicans are 7-30 (.189) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .307
Injury Report: Pelicans vs. Mavericks – Wednesday‘s Game, Mar. 8
- E.J. Liddell (Pelicans): Liddell is doing some light shooting and is making progress from a torn right ACL, according to Cody Taylor of The USA Today. He’s expected to miss most of the season.
- Larry Nance Jr. (Pelicans): Nance Jr. will be re-evaluated in two weeks, according to Chris Mannix of Sports Illustrated.
- Zion Williamson (Pelicans): Williamson suffered a setback and will be sidelined several more weeks, according to Christian Clark of NOLA.com.
- Jose Alvarado (Pelicans): Alvarado will be re-evaluated in three weeks after being diagnosed with a stress reaction in his right tibia, per Rotowire.
- Reggie Bullock (Mavericks): Bullock left Tuesday’s (Mar 7) game and did not return.
- JaVale McGee (Mavericks): McGee did not play in Tuesday’s (Mar. 7) game against Utah.
Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have averaged 39.7 points in the paint per game (1,232 points/31 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7
The Mavericks have averaged 12.3 turnovers per game (1,333 turnovers/108 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9
The Mavericks have averaged 11.9 turnovers per game (883 turnovers/74 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9
The Mavericks have averaged 9.2 fast break points per game (286 points/31 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5
New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans have averaged 14.9 fast break points per game (895 points/60 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9
The Pelicans have a 28% free throw rate (2,688 free throw attempts/9,484 field goal attempts) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%
The Pelicans have averaged 14.8 second chance points per game (887 points/60 games) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.7
The Pelicans have averaged 25.4 points in the paint per game (5,436 points/214 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.2
Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have averaged 3.7 blocks per game (272 blocks/74 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Mavericks have averaged 6.6 steals per game (970 steals/146 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Mavericks have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (563 blocks/146 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Mavericks have averaged 6.5 steals per game (418 steals/64 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3
New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (886 blocks/214 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Pelicans have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (430 blocks/107 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Pelicans have averaged 8.6 steals per game (513 steals/60 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3
The Pelicans have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (243 blocks/60 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
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