Dallas Mavericks vs Toronto Raptors Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Nov. 26

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 26, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Mavericks (9-8) are -2.5 favorites vs. the Raptors (9-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 215.5 points
  • Saturday, November 26, 2022 at 5:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on & BSSW

The Dallas Mavericks visit Scotiabank Arena to take on the Toronto Raptors on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 5:00pm EST in Toronto.

The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Mavericks vs Raptors Over/Under is 214.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 4-12 against the spread, while the Raptors are 10-8 against the spread.


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Mavericks vs. Raptors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dallas Mavericks-2.5 -110O 214.5 -110-135
Toronto Raptors +2.5 -110U 214.5 -110+115

Raptors vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Saturday‘s game with 58.5% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 53.2% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Mavericks and Raptors, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 64 of their last 95 games (+30.72 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 1Q Spread in 57 of their last 98 games (+11.85 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 39 games (+11.20 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 97 games (+10.90 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 55 of their last 92 games (+10.36 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have covered the 4Q Spread in 47 of their last 73 games (+18.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have covered the 2Q Spread in 27 of their last 36 games (+17.10 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 42 games (+16.89 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 46 of their last 73 games (+16.18 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 36 games (+15.66 Units / 33% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 4-12 (-9.2 Units / -49.2% ROI).

  • 9-8 against the Moneyline (-13.65 Units / -29.29% ROI)
  • 10-7 against the Over for game total points (+2.3 Units / 12.3% ROI)
  • 7-10 against the Under for game total points (-4 Units / -21.39% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 10-8 (+1.2 Units / 6.06% ROI).

  • 9-9 against the Moneyline (-1.3 Units / -4.71% ROI)
  • 9-8 against the Over for game total points (+0.2 Units / 1.01% ROI)
  • 8-9 against the Under for game total points (-1.9 Units / -9.6% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 79 games (-26.63 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 51 games (-23.72 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 71 games (-17.89 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 32 games at home (-17.25 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only covered the 3Q Spread in 19 of their last 51 games (-15.70 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 97 games (-42.23 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 47 of their last 100 games (-24.65 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 99 games (-20.70 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 22 games (-17.20 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 45 away games (-15.27 Units / -31% ROI)

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Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors

The Mavericks are 25-12 (.676) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

The Mavericks are 22-6 (.786) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .506

The Mavericks are 35-19 (.648) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Mavericks are 46-21 (.687) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Raptors are 22-4 (.846) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .744

The Raptors are 23-10 (.697) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .564

The Raptors are 13-19 (.406) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .452

The Raptors are 26-43 (.371) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

Injury Report: Raptors vs. MavericksSaturday‘s Game, Nov. 26

  • Justin Champagnie (Raptors): The Raptors have listed Champagnie as OUT for Saturday’s game (Nov. 26) against the Mavericks.
  • Dalano Banton (Raptors): The Raptors have listed Banton as QUESTIONABLE for Saturday’s game (Nov. 26) against the Mavericks.
  • Otto Porter Jr. (Raptors): Porter Jr. has not played since Nov. 14 there is no timetable for his return.
  • Pascal Siakam (Raptors): Raptors coach Nick Nurse said is targeting a return for next week.
  • Scottie Barnes (Raptors): The Raptors have listed Barnes as OUT for Saturday’s game (Nov. 26) against the Mavericks.
  • Fred VanVleet (Raptors): The Raptors have listed Banton as QUESTIONABLE for Saturday’s game (Nov. 26) against the Mavericks.
  • Precious Achiuwa (Raptors): Achiuwa is out indefinitely, according to Vivek Jacbo of Raptors.com.
  • Maxi Kleber (Mavericks): Kleber is probable for Saturday’s (Nov. 25) game against Toronto.

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 7.9 assists per game (95 assists/12 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 11.8

The Mavericks have averaged 49.9 points per game (599 points/12 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54.7

The Mavericks have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (95 assists/ 88 TOs) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Mavericks have a 32% free throw rate (321 free throw attempts/991 field goal attempts) this season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%

Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 20.7 fast break points per game (290 points/14 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Raptors have averaged 10.8 fast break points per game (151 points/14 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Raptors have averaged 13.1 offensive rebounds per game (1,260 rebounds/96 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.3

The Raptors have averaged 9.9 fast break points per game (139 points/14 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.5

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (1,106 steals/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Mavericks have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (327 blocks/84 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Mavericks have averaged 31.1 defensive rebounds per game (373 rebounds/12 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.2

The Mavericks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (552 steals/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 11.0 steals per game (154 steals/14 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Raptors have 154 steals this season — most among NBA teams

The Raptors have averaged 31.7 defensive rebounds per game (5,333 rebounds/168 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Raptors have averaged 8.9 steals per game (1,499 steals/168 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.