- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on ABC
The Dallas Mavericks visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30 pm in Houston, TX.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Mavericks vs Rockets Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 22-26 against the spread, while the Rockets are 22-24 against the spread.
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Mavericks vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dallas Mavericks | O | ||
| Houston Rockets | U |
Rockets vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Saturday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Rockets.
Rockets vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.
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Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 30 games (+10.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 2H Spread in 29 of their last 45 games (+10.63 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games (+9.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 away games (+9.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games (+8.85 Units / 31% ROI)
Rockets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 22 games (+15.65 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 40 games at home (+15.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 40 games at home (+15.40 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 45 games (+15.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 19 games (+12.70 Units / 61% ROI)
Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 22-26 (-6.65 Units / -12.58% ROI).
- 19-29 against the Moneyline (-2.95 Units / -4.71% ROI)
- 21-27 against the Over for game total points (-8.7 Units / -16.48% ROI)
- 27-21 against the Under for game total points (+3.9 Units / 7.39% ROI)
Houston Rockets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 22-24 (-4.35 Units / -8.61% ROI).
- 29-17 against the Moneyline (-17.95 Units / -10.67% ROI)
- 20-26 against the Over for game total points (-8.57 Units / -16.95% ROI)
- 26-20 against the Under for game total points (+4 Units / 7.9% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Rockets:
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 40 games (-28.50 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 45 games (-23.85 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 45 games (-22.25 Units / -42% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 22 games (-19.16 Units / -75% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 35 games (-15.37 Units / -40% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 35 away games (-16.80 Units / -44% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-15.80 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 14 of their last 40 away games (-15.65 Units / -34% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 40 away games (-15.60 Units / -34% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 30 games (-13.00 Units / -38% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
- Keys to Winning for the Houston Rockets
- Player Injuries for Dallas Mavericks vs. Houston Rockets
- Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
- Houston Rockets Offensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats
- Houston Rockets Defensive stats
Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets
The Mavericks are 11-25 (.306) when allowing 110 or more points this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .357
The Mavericks are 3-5 (.375) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .576
The Mavericks are 10-12 (.455) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
The Mavericks are 2-22 (.083) when assisting on fewer than 20 field goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .230
Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks
The Rockets are 14-1 (.933) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572
The Rockets are 7-3 (.700) when they win the turnover margin this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .605
The Rockets are 28-17 (.622) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .492
The Rockets are 10-6 (.625) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .521
Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have averaged 9.4 fast break points per game (449 points/48 games) in the second half this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1
The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Mavericks are shooting 33% from three (263/799) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Mavericks have an eFG% of 53% this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%
Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets had a TS% of 44% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%
The Rockets had an eFG% of 46% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
The Rockets averaged 22.5 offensive rebounds per game (1,844 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.0
The Rockets have averaged 22.9 offensive rebounds per game (2,936 rebounds/128 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.4
Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have averaged 37.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,803 rebounds/48 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0
The Mavericks averaged 5.4 blocks per game (445 blocks/82 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Mavericks have averaged 7.7 steals per game (369 steals/48 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4
The Mavericks averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,957 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Rockets have averaged 5.8 blocks per game (266 blocks/46 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Rockets averaged 8.4 steals per game (689 steals/82 games) last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2
The Rockets allowed 12.3 made three-pointers per game last season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.5
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