- The Mavericks (16-16) are -6.5 favorites vs. the Rockets (9-22)
- Total (Over/Under): 219.5 points
- Friday, December 23, 2022 at 8:00pm EST
- Watch the game on SportsNet SW & BSSW
The Dallas Mavericks visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Houston.
The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).
The Mavericks vs Rockets Over/Under is 219.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 11-19 against the spread, while the Rockets are 13-15 against the spread.
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Mavericks vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Dallas Mavericks | -6.5 -115 | O 219.5 -110 | -275 |
Houston Rockets | +6.5 -105 | U 219.5 -110 | +220 |
Rockets vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Friday‘s game with 66.7% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 57.5% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Mavericks and Rockets, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Mavericks Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 67 of their last 99 games (+32.48 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 27 games (+8.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 1Q Spread in 56 of their last 100 games (+7.65 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 30 of their last 54 games (+6.35 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 38 of their last 67 games (+6.05 Units / 8% ROI)
Rockets Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+10.95 Units / 70% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 24 games (+10.91 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 23 games (+10.30 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games at home (+8.69 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 2Q Spread in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+8.62 Units / 46% ROI)
Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 11-19 (-9.9 Units / -28.13% ROI).
- 16-16 against the Moneyline (-18.5 Units / -26.26% ROI)
- 18-14 against the Over for game total points (+2.6 Units / 7.39% ROI)
- 14-18 against the Under for game total points (-5.8 Units / -16.48% ROI)
Houston Rockets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 13-15 (-3.5 Units / -10.26% ROI).
- 9-22 against the Moneyline (-1.6 Units / -4.95% ROI)
- 16-15 against the Over for game total points (-0.5 Units / -1.47% ROI)
- 15-16 against the Under for game total points (-2.6 Units / -7.62% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Rockets, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 67 games (-19.60 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only covered the Spread in 32 of their last 81 games (-17.50 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 67 games (-17.20 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 76 games (-16.34 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 28 of their last 67 games (-15.82 Units / -21% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Mavericks, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 99 games (-44.33 Units / -40% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 37 games (-22.05 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 43 of their last 89 games (-19.36 Units / -15% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 46 away games (-16.75 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 45 away games (-14.70 Units / -30% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
- Keys to Winning for the Houston Rockets
- Player Injuries for Dallas Mavericks vs. Houston Rockets
- Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
- Houston Rockets Offensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats
- Houston Rockets Defensive stats
Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets
The Mavericks are 25-12 (.676) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461
The Mavericks are 22-6 (.786) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .506
The Mavericks are 35-19 (.648) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
The Mavericks are 46-21 (.687) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544
Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks
The Rockets are 14-56 (.197) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
The Rockets are 10-38 (.208) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .553
The Rockets are 5-64 (.072) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .224
The Rockets are 2-19 (.095) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .542
Injury Report: Rockets vs. Mavericks – Friday‘s Game, Dec. 23
- Garrison Mathews (Rockets): Mathews is questionable for Friday’s (Dec 23) game against Dallas.
- Jae’Sean Tate (Rockets): Tate remains without a timetable to return, according to Adam Spolane of Sports Radio 610 Houston.
- Eric Gordon (Rockets): Gordon is OUT for Friday’s (Dec 23) game against Dallas.
- Kemba Walker (Mavericks): Walker is out for Friday’s (Dec. 23) game against Houston.
- Maxi Kleber (Mavericks): The Mavericks announced that Kleber underwent surgery for a right hamstring tear and there’s no timetable for his return.
- Josh Green (Mavericks): Green is out for Friday’s (Dec. 23) game against Houston.
- Dorian Finney-Smith (Mavericks): Finney-Smith is out for Friday’s (Dec. 23) game against Houston.
Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have averaged 7.9 assists per game (95 assists/12 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 11.8
The Mavericks have averaged 49.9 points per game (599 points/12 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54.7
The Mavericks have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (95 assists/ 88 TOs) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Mavericks have a 32% free throw rate (321 free throw attempts/991 field goal attempts) this season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%
Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (285 assists/ 221 TOs) this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (3,913 assists/ 2,527 TOs) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9
The Rockets have averaged 15.8 turnovers per game (1,373 turnovers/87 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2
The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (52 assists/ 48 TOs) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (1,106 steals/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
The Mavericks have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (327 blocks/84 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Mavericks have averaged 31.1 defensive rebounds per game (373 rebounds/12 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.2
The Mavericks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (552 steals/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have averaged 32.3 defensive rebounds per game (3,071 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8
The Rockets have averaged 32.7 defensive rebounds per game (5,465 rebounds/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1
The Rockets have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (61 blocks/13 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Rockets have averaged 31.5 defensive rebounds per game (410 rebounds/13 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.3
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