Mavericks vs Spurs Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 10

• The Spurs are -17.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks
• Total (Over/Under): 235.5 points
• Watch the game on KFAA | KENS | WFAA

The Dallas Mavericks visit Frost Bank Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00 pm in San Antonio, TX.

The Spurs are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -17.5 (-110).

The Mavericks vs Spurs Over/Under is 235.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 35-45 against the spread, while the Spurs are 46-34 against the spread.

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Mavericks vs. Spurs Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Spurs vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Spurs will win Friday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Spurs.

Spurs vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.

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Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 50 games (+17.60 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 24 away games (+11.40 Units / 43% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.90 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 11 away games (+8.85 Units / 72% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 away games (+8.69 Units / 25% ROI)

Spurs Best Bets for Tonight:

• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 30 games (+23.35 Units / 15% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 1H Spread in 32 of their last 45 games (+16.95 Units / 32% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 45 games (+14.45 Units / 16% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 30 games (+13.60 Units / 14% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 30 games (+13.50 Units / 23% ROI)

Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 35-45 (-14.55 Units / -16.52% ROI).

• 25-55 against the Moneyline (-16.85 Units / -16.95% ROI)
• 35-45 against the Over for game total points (-14.5 Units / -16.48% ROI)
• 45-35 against the Under for game total points (+6.5 Units / 7.39% ROI)

San Antonio Spurs Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 46-34 (+8.6 Units / 9.77% ROI).

• 61-19 against the Moneyline (+35.3 Units / 12.12% ROI)
• 33-46 against the Over for game total points (-17.6 Units / -20% ROI)
• 46-33 against the Under for game total points (+9.7 Units / 11.02% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Spurs:

• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 45 games (-17.30 Units / -33% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.99 Units / -29% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 50 games (-16.10 Units / -29% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 games (-13.96 Units / -14% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 30 games (-12.35 Units / -37% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:

• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 50 games (-24.40 Units / -43% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 18 of their last 50 games (-18.70 Units / -33% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 50 games (-17.85 Units / -32% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 35 games (-16.90 Units / -43% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 50 games (-15.50 Units / -27% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
• Keys to Winning for the San Antonio Spurs
• Player Injuries for Dallas Mavericks vs. San Antonio Spurs
• Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
• San Antonio Spurs Offensive stats
• Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats
• San Antonio Spurs Defensive stats

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Mavericks are 12-28 (.300) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

The Mavericks are 4-18 (.182) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .300

The Mavericks are 5-30 (.143) when their eFG is 50% or worse this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .217

The Mavericks are 11-31 (.262) when they lose the turnover margin this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .406

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Spurs are 13-2 (.867) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .396

The Spurs are 23-1 (.958) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

The Spurs are 47-17 (.734) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .503

The Spurs are 43-9 (.827) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .657

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have a TS% of 49% on the road this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Mavericks are shooting 75% from the free throw line (1,557/2,067) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Mavericks have a TS% of 49% in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Mavericks have a TS% of 49% this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 62.2 points per game (4,978 points/80 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 58.1

The Spurs have averaged 119.6 points per game (9,569 points/80 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.6

The Spurs have averaged 1.33 points per shot (9,569 points/7,182 shots) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Spurs have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (2,245 assists/ 1,083 TOs) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 7.5 steals per game (602 steals/80 games) this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Mavericks have averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (8,792 rebounds/244 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Mavericks have averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/80 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Mavericks have blocked 411 shots this season — 10th most among NBA teams

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 38.2 defensive rebounds per game (3,052 rebounds/80 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Spurs have averaged 5.8 blocks per game (1,410 blocks/244 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Spurs have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (713 blocks/120 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Spurs have averaged 7.6 steals per game (1,866 steals/244 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

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