Mavericks vs Spurs Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 7

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The Dallas Mavericks visit Frost Bank Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 6:00 pm in San Antonio, TX.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Mavericks vs Spurs Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 23-28 against the spread, while the Spurs are 28-23 against the spread.


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Mavericks vs. Spurs Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dallas Mavericks O
San Antonio Spurs U

Spurs vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Spurs will win Saturday‘s game with 77.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Spurs.

Spurs vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.


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  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 2H Spread in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.58 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 games (+11.55 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 35 away games (+9.10 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.45 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 50 games (+16.60 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 1Q Spread in 34 of their last 50 games (+15.45 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 40 games (+14.80 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 1H Spread in 30 of their last 45 games (+12.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+11.75 Units / 21% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 23-28 (-7.85 Units / -13.98% ROI).

  • 19-32 against the Moneyline (-5.95 Units / -9.06% ROI)
  • 22-29 against the Over for game total points (-9.9 Units / -17.65% ROI)
  • 29-22 against the Under for game total points (+4.8 Units / 8.56% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 28-23 (+2.7 Units / 4.81% ROI).

  • 35-16 against the Moneyline (+12.95 Units / 9.66% ROI)
  • 19-32 against the Over for game total points (-16.2 Units / -28.88% ROI)
  • 32-19 against the Under for game total points (+11.1 Units / 19.79% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 50 games (-19.30 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 40 games (-18.80 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.55 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 40 games (-15.95 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 22 games (-14.99 Units / -58% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 40 games (-18.10 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-15.75 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.45 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 30 games (-14.40 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 50 games (-13.75 Units / -24% ROI)

Jump to:

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Mavericks are 4-19 (.174) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .449

The Mavericks are 11-28 (.282) when allowing 110 or more points this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .358

The Mavericks were 20-10 (.667) when attempting 25 or more free throws in the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Mavericks were 14-6 (.700) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .611

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Spurs are undefeated (14-0) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .690

The Spurs were 1-11 (.083) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395

The Spurs are 49-106 (.316) when allowing 110 or more points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .344

The Spurs were 4-9 (.308) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .402

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks have made 11.0 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

The Mavericks are shooting 34% from three (559/1,629) this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Mavericks have averaged 18.6 fast break points per game (947 points/51 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.1

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs averaged 16.1 fast break points per game (1,324 points/82 games) last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5

The Spurs have 25.6 free throw attempts per game this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.7

The Spurs had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (2,348 assists/ 1,138 TOs) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Spurs averaged 14.5 assists per game (1,186 assists/82 games) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.7

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 37.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,916 rebounds/51 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

The Mavericks averaged 5.4 blocks per game (445 blocks/82 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Mavericks have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (287 blocks/51 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Mavericks have averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (7,762 rebounds/215 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 37.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,901 rebounds/51 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

The Spurs averaged 7.1 steals per game (584 steals/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Spurs averaged 5.5 blocks per game (455 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Spurs have averaged 5.7 blocks per game (1,230 blocks/215 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0


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