Mavericks vs Suns Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 8

• The Suns are -10.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks
• Total (Over/Under): 230.5 points
• Watch the game on KFAA | KTVK | AZFS

The Dallas Mavericks visit Mortgage Matchup Center to take on the Phoenix Suns on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00 pm in Phoenix, AZ.

The Suns are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-115).

The Mavericks vs Suns Over/Under is 230.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 34-45 against the spread, while the Suns are 46-32 against the spread.

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Mavericks vs. Suns Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Suns vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Suns will win Wednesday‘s game with 69.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Suns.

Suns vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 62.1% confidence.

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Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 50 games (+17.60 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+11.15 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 23 away games (+10.40 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 7 away games (+8.00 Units / 94% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 10 away games (+7.85 Units / 70% ROI)

Suns Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Phoenix Suns have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games (+12.83 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+12.40 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have covered the 3Q Spread in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+11.85 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+10.85 Units / 56% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.55 Units / 52% ROI)

Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 34-45 (-15.55 Units / -17.88% ROI).

• 25-54 against the Moneyline (-15.85 Units / -16.11% ROI)
• 35-44 against the Over for game total points (-13.4 Units / -15.42% ROI)
• 44-35 against the Under for game total points (+5.5 Units / 6.33% ROI)

Phoenix Suns Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 46-32 (+10.8 Units / 12.43% ROI).

• 43-36 against the Moneyline (+3.7 Units / 2.35% ROI)
• 36-42 against the Over for game total points (-10.2 Units / -11.74% ROI)
• 42-36 against the Under for game total points (+2.4 Units / 2.76% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Suns:

• The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 45 games (-23.50 Units / -40% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 15 of their last 45 games (-20.35 Units / -39% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 45 games (-19.31 Units / -37% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 40 games at home (-18.75 Units / -40% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 45 games (-14.30 Units / -28% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:

• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 50 games (-24.40 Units / -43% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 18 of their last 50 games (-18.65 Units / -33% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 50 games (-18.00 Units / -32% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 40 games (-17.00 Units / -37% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 14 of their last 40 games (-16.05 Units / -35% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
• Keys to Winning for the Phoenix Suns
• Player Injuries for Dallas Mavericks vs. Phoenix Suns
• Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
• Phoenix Suns Offensive stats
• Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats
• Phoenix Suns Defensive stats

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Mavericks are 8-35 (.186) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .430

The Mavericks are 13-33 (.283) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .429

The Mavericks are 16-49 (.246) when allowing 110 or more points this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .352

The Mavericks are 11-30 (.268) when they lose the turnover margin this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .407

Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Suns are undefeated (16-0) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .785

The Suns are 14-7 (.667) when turning the ball over fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-8th-best in the NBA. The Mavericks have forced 13.5 turnovers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th-lowest in the NBA.

The Suns are 13-1 (.929) when assisting on 30 or more field goals this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .721

The Suns are 7-6 (.538) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .603

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have a TS% of 49% this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Mavericks have made 10.7 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

The Mavericks have an eFG% of 53% this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Mavericks have an eFG% of 52% in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 42.0 points in the paint per game (1,682 points/40 games) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.8

The Suns have averaged 43.0 points in the paint per game (3,400 points/79 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

The Suns have averaged 43.6 points in the paint per game (5,314 points/122 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.0

The Suns have averaged 42.0 points in the paint per game (3,402 points/81 games) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.6

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,910 rebounds/79 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Mavericks have averaged 5.1 blocks per game (406 blocks/79 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Mavericks have blocked 406 shots this season — 10th most among NBA teams

The Mavericks have averaged 7.6 steals per game (598 steals/79 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 32.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,562 rebounds/79 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Suns have averaged 9.7 steals per game (763 steals/79 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Suns have allowed 12.1 made three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.3

The Suns have allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (448/1,341) in the second half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

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