- The Timberwolves (15-15) are -14.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks (15-15)
- Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
- Monday, December 19, 2022 at 8:00pm EST
- Watch the game on BSN & BSSW
The Dallas Mavericks visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Minneapolis.
The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-110).
The Mavericks vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 10-18 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 12-18 against the spread.
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Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Dallas Mavericks | +14.5 -110 | O 228.5 -110 | -175 |
Minnesota Timberwolves | -14.5 -110 | U 228.5 -110 | +145 |
Timberwolves vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Monday‘s game with 59.5% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 52.5% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Mavericks and Timberwolves, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Mavericks Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 65 of their last 97 games (+30.48 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 1Q Spread in 57 of their last 100 games (+9.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 30 of their last 52 games (+9.40 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 27 away games (+8.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.05 Units / 29% ROI)
Timberwolves Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 50 of their last 80 games (+15.97 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 1H Spread in 50 of their last 84 games (+13.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 1Q Spread in 35 of their last 54 games (+13.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 36 games (+12.75 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 54 games (+12.55 Units / 16% ROI)
Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 10-18 (-9.8 Units / -29.7% ROI).
- 15-15 against the Moneyline (-17.25 Units / -25.78% ROI)
- 18-12 against the Over for game total points (+4.8 Units / 14.55% ROI)
- 12-18 against the Under for game total points (-7.8 Units / -23.64% ROI)
Minnesota Timberwolves Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 12-18 (-7.8 Units / -23.6% ROI).
- 15-15 against the Moneyline (-8.55 Units / -13.76% ROI)
- 13-17 against the Over for game total points (-5.7 Units / -17.27% ROI)
- 17-13 against the Under for game total points (+2.7 Units / 8.18% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Timberwolves, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 80 games (-27.21 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 41 of their last 90 games (-24.00 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 52 games (-20.40 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 64 games (-18.83 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 34 of their last 81 games (-17.90 Units / -20% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Mavericks, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 97 games (-41.96 Units / -38% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 41 of their last 87 games (-21.36 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 35 games (-20.80 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 45 of their last 100 games (-17.52 Units / -15% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 82 games (-16.30 Units / -17% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
- Keys to Winning for the Minnesota Timberwolves
- Player Injuries for Dallas Mavericks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
- Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
- Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats
- Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive stats
Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves
The Mavericks are 25-12 (.676) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461
The Mavericks are 22-6 (.786) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .506
The Mavericks are 35-19 (.648) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
The Mavericks are 46-21 (.687) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544
Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks
The Timberwolves are 6-15 (.286) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .425
The Timberwolves are 28-8 (.778) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .608
The Timberwolves are 8-46 (.148) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .207
The Timberwolves are 18-41 (.305) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431
Injury Report: Timberwolves vs. Mavericks – Monday‘s Game, Dec. 19
- Taurean Prince (Timberwolves): Timberwolves coach Chris Finch said Prince is “at least a week away.”
- Karl-Anthony Towns (Timberwolves): Towns is expected to miss 4-6 weeks with a right calf strain, according to Adrian Wojnarowki of ESPN.
- Rudy Gobert (Timberwolves): Gobert did not play in Sunday’s (Dec. 18) game against Chicago.
- Jordan McLaughlin (Timberwolves): McLaughlin did not play in Sunday’s (Dec. 18) game against Chicago.
- Maxi Kleber (Mavericks): The Mavericks announced that Kleber suffered a tear of his right hamstring and there’s no timetable for his return.
- Josh Green (Mavericks): Green is out for Monday’s (Dec. 19) game against Minnesota.
- Tim Hardaway Jr. (Mavericks): Hardaway Jr. is questionable for Monday’s (Dec. 19) game against Minnesota.
- Dwight Powell (Mavericks): Powell is questionable for Monday’s (Dec. 19) game against Minnesota.
Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have averaged 7.9 assists per game (95 assists/12 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 11.8
The Mavericks have averaged 49.9 points per game (599 points/12 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54.7
The Mavericks have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (95 assists/ 88 TOs) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Mavericks have a 32% free throw rate (321 free throw attempts/991 field goal attempts) this season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%
Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves have averaged 52.7 points in the paint per game (738 points/14 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.0
The Timberwolves have averaged 117.4 points per game (5,281 points/45 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 109.5
The Timberwolves shot 35% from three (944/2,706) in the 2020-21 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%
The Timberwolves have averaged 13.7 fast break points per game (2,294 points/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.6
Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (1,106 steals/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
The Mavericks have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (327 blocks/84 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Mavericks have averaged 31.1 defensive rebounds per game (373 rebounds/12 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.2
The Mavericks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (552 steals/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves have averaged 34.2 defensive rebounds per game (479 rebounds/14 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.2
The Timberwolves have averaged 8.7 steals per game (1,446 steals/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
The Timberwolves have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (931 blocks/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Timberwolves have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (3,146 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8
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