- The Mavericks (15-16) are -3.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves (16-15)
- Total (Over/Under): 229.5 points
- Wednesday, December 21, 2022 at 8:00pm EST
- Watch the game on BSN & BSSW
The Dallas Mavericks visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Minneapolis.
The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).
The Mavericks vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 229.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 10-19 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 13-18 against the spread.
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Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Dallas Mavericks | -3.5 -110 | O 229.5 -115 | -155 |
Minnesota Timberwolves | +3.5 -110 | U 229.5 -115 | +130 |
Timberwolves vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Wednesday‘s game with 57.8% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.9% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Mavericks and Timberwolves, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Mavericks Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 66 of their last 98 games (+31.48 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 1Q Spread in 57 of their last 100 games (+9.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 30 of their last 53 games (+7.60 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 26 games (+7.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 28 away games (+7.00 Units / 23% ROI)
Timberwolves Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 51 of their last 81 games (+16.97 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 1H Spread in 51 of their last 85 games (+14.55 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 37 games (+13.75 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 1Q Spread in 35 of their last 55 games (+12.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 55 games (+11.55 Units / 14% ROI)
Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 10-19 (-10.9 Units / -31.96% ROI).
- 15-16 against the Moneyline (-19.5 Units / -28.2% ROI)
- 18-13 against the Over for game total points (+3.7 Units / 10.85% ROI)
- 13-18 against the Under for game total points (-6.8 Units / -19.94% ROI)
Minnesota Timberwolves Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 13-18 (-6.8 Units / -19.91% ROI).
- 16-15 against the Moneyline (-6.7 Units / -10.61% ROI)
- 13-18 against the Over for game total points (-6.8 Units / -19.94% ROI)
- 18-13 against the Under for game total points (+3.7 Units / 10.85% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Timberwolves, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 81 games (-28.36 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 39 of their last 85 games (-23.91 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 53 games (-19.06 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 45 games (-18.22 Units / -36% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 65 games (-17.51 Units / -19% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Mavericks, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 98 games (-43.18 Units / -39% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 36 games (-23.05 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 42 of their last 88 games (-20.36 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 45 away games (-17.75 Units / -32% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 67 games (-15.63 Units / -20% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
- Keys to Winning for the Minnesota Timberwolves
- Player Injuries for Dallas Mavericks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
- Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
- Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats
- Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive stats
Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves
The Mavericks are 25-12 (.676) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461
The Mavericks are 22-6 (.786) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .506
The Mavericks are 35-19 (.648) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
The Mavericks are 46-21 (.687) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544
Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks
The Timberwolves are 6-15 (.286) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .425
The Timberwolves are 28-8 (.778) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .608
The Timberwolves are 8-46 (.148) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .207
The Timberwolves are 18-41 (.305) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431
Injury Report: Timberwolves vs. Mavericks – Wednesday‘s Game, Dec. 21
- Taurean Prince (Timberwolves): Timberwolves coach Chris Finch said Prince is “at least a week away.”
- Kyle Anderson (Timberwolves): Anderson is questionable for Wednesday’s (Dec 21) game against Dallas.
- Karl-Anthony Towns (Timberwolves): Towns is expected to miss 4-6 weeks with a right calf strain, according to Adrian Wojnarowki of ESPN.
- Rudy Gobert (Timberwolves): Gobert is questionable for Wednesday’s (Dec 21) game against Dallas.
- Jordan McLaughlin (Timberwolves): McLaughlin is OUT for Wednesday’s (Dec 21) game against Dallas.
- Maxi Kleber (Mavericks): The Mavericks announced that Kleber underwent surgery for a right hamstring tear and there’s no timetable for his return.
- Josh Green (Mavericks): Green is out for Wednesday’s (Dec. 21) game against Minnesota.
- Dorian Finney-Smith (Mavericks): Finney-Smith is out for Wednesday’s (Dec. 21) game against Minnesota.
- Dwight Powell (Mavericks): Powell is questionable for Wednesday’s (Dec. 21) game against Minnesota.
Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have averaged 7.9 assists per game (95 assists/12 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 11.8
The Mavericks have averaged 49.9 points per game (599 points/12 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54.7
The Mavericks have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (95 assists/ 88 TOs) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Mavericks have a 32% free throw rate (321 free throw attempts/991 field goal attempts) this season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%
Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves have averaged 52.7 points in the paint per game (738 points/14 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.0
The Timberwolves have averaged 117.4 points per game (5,281 points/45 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 109.5
The Timberwolves shot 35% from three (944/2,706) in the 2020-21 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%
The Timberwolves have averaged 13.7 fast break points per game (2,294 points/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.6
Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (1,106 steals/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
The Mavericks have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (327 blocks/84 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Mavericks have averaged 31.1 defensive rebounds per game (373 rebounds/12 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.2
The Mavericks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (552 steals/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves have averaged 34.2 defensive rebounds per game (479 rebounds/14 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.2
The Timberwolves have averaged 8.7 steals per game (1,446 steals/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
The Timberwolves have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (931 blocks/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Timberwolves have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (3,146 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8
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