Mavericks vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 20

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The Dallas Mavericks visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30 pm in Minneapolis, MN.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Mavericks vs Timberwolves Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 23-31 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 25-31 against the spread.


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Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dallas Mavericks O
Minnesota Timberwolves U

Timberwolves vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Friday‘s game with 76.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Timberwolves.

Timberwolves vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 66.4% confidence.


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  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 2H Spread in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.58 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 30 games (+12.65 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.20 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2H Moneyline in 26 of their last 50 games (+9.14 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 away games (+8.75 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+10.30 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+10.20 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 2H Spread in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.22 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+8.65 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 66% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 23-31 (-11.15 Units / -18.76% ROI).

  • 19-35 against the Moneyline (-8.95 Units / -13.04% ROI)
  • 24-30 against the Over for game total points (-9 Units / -15.15% ROI)
  • 30-24 against the Under for game total points (+3.6 Units / 6.06% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 25-31 (-9.15 Units / -14.84% ROI).

  • 34-22 against the Moneyline (-18.05 Units / -10.48% ROI)
  • 28-28 against the Over for game total points (-2.8 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 28-28 against the Under for game total points (-2.8 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 40 games (-22.60 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 21 games at home (-19.15 Units / -50% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 games (-19.10 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 25 games at home (-13.65 Units / -47% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 22 games at home (-12.85 Units / -50% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 40 away games (-21.80 Units / -51% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 13 of their last 40 away games (-17.80 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 35 games (-16.55 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 30 games (-16.50 Units / -49% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 40 away games (-15.55 Units / -36% ROI)

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Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Mavericks are 12-23 (.343) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .454

The Mavericks were 20-10 (.667) when scoring 15 or more second chance points in the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Mavericks are 11-31 (.262) when allowing 110 or more points this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .357

The Mavericks are 4-19 (.174) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .446

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Timberwolves are 18-2 (.900) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .786

The Timberwolves were 13-2 (.867) when forcing 10 or more steals in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572

The Timberwolves are 19-11 (.633) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .546

The Timberwolves are 34-21 (.618) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .507

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks are shooting 33% from three (287/872) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Mavericks have made 10.9 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

The Mavericks have averaged 12.5 second chance points per game (677 points/54 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.0

The Mavericks have averaged 5.9 second chance points per game (320 points/54 games) in the first half this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 60.5 points per game (3,386 points/56 games) in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.8

The Timberwolves have an eFG% of 58% on the road this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Timberwolves are shooting 38% from three (798/2,130) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Timberwolves shot 43% (368/853) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 37.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,012 rebounds/54 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

The Mavericks averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks averaged 7.8 steals per game (636 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Mavericks have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (297 blocks/54 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 35.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,998 rebounds/56 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

The Timberwolves have averaged 8.8 steals per game (492 steals/56 games) this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Timberwolves allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (4,222 points/3,480 shots) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31

The Timberwolves allowed an eFG% of 50% at home in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%


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