Dallas Mavericks vs Portland Trail Blazers Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Jan. 14

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 14, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Trail Blazers (19-22) are -1.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks (24-19)
  • Total (Over/Under): 224.5 points
  • Saturday, January 14, 2023 at 10:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW+ & BSSW

The Dallas Mavericks visit Moda Center to take on the Portland Trail Blazers on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Portland.

The Trail Blazers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Mavericks vs Trail Blazers Over/Under is 224.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 15-26 against the spread, while the Trail Blazers are 22-19 against the spread.


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Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dallas Mavericks+1.5 -110O 224.5 -110+105
Portland Trail Blazers -1.5 -110U 224.5 -110-125

Trail Blazers vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Trail Blazers will win Saturday‘s game with 52.5% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Mavericks and Trail Blazers, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 60 of their last 93 games (+24.43 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 44 of their last 78 games (+7.55 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.85 Units / 66% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.95 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 52 of their last 82 games (+17.56 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 30 of their last 66 games (+16.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 33 games at home (+15.79 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 52 games (+9.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have covered the 1Q Spread in 46 of their last 82 games (+7.50 Units / 8% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 15-26 (-13.55 Units / -28.68% ROI).

  • 24-19 against the Moneyline (-13.55 Units / -14.06% ROI)
  • 24-19 against the Over for game total points (+3.1 Units / 6.55% ROI)
  • 19-24 against the Under for game total points (-7.4 Units / -15.64% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 22-19 (+1.1 Units / 2.44% ROI).

  • 19-22 against the Moneyline (+1.9 Units / 3.17% ROI)
  • 18-22 against the Over for game total points (-6.2 Units / -13.75% ROI)
  • 22-18 against the Under for game total points (+2.2 Units / 4.88% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 23 of their last 82 games (-35.21 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 82 games (-28.27 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 82 games (-27.22 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 32 of their last 82 games (-23.69 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 82 games (-22.56 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 99 games (-36.14 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 49 of their last 100 games (-21.08 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 34 games (-20.46 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 79 games (-20.11 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the Spread in 16 of their last 48 games (-16.95 Units / -32% ROI)

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Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The Mavericks are 25-12 (.676) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

The Mavericks are 22-6 (.786) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .506

The Mavericks are 35-19 (.648) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Mavericks are 46-21 (.687) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Portland Trail Blazers are 6-37 (.140) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — worst among NBA teams. The San Antonio Spurs have averaged 44.9 rebounds per game (4,314 rebounds/96 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — eighth-highest among NBA teams.

The Trail Blazers are 8-34 (.190) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .447

The Trail Blazers are 4-15 (.211) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .479

The Trail Blazers are 13-22 (.371) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

Injury Report: Trail Blazers vs. MavericksSaturday‘s Game, Jan. 14

  • Nassir Little (Trail Blazers): The Trailblazers announced that Little will miss six weeks with a mild femoral head impaction fracture.
  • Gary Payton II (Trail Blazers): Payton II is probable for Saturday’s (Jan.14) game against Dallas.
  • Justise Winslow (Trail Blazers): The Blazers announced that Winslow will be re-evaluated in two weeks.
  • Damian Lillard (Trail Blazers): Lillard is questionable for Saturday’s (Jan.14) game against Dallas.
  • Maxi Kleber (Mavericks): The Mavericks announced that Kleber underwent surgery for a right hamstring tear and there’s no timetable for his return.
  • Josh Green (Mavericks): Green hasn’t played since Dec. 9 against Milwaukee. A timetable for his return hasn’t been announced.
  • Dorian Finney-Smith (Mavericks): Mavericks coach Jason Kidd said Finney-Smith will miss at least another couple weeks, according to NBA writer Marc Stein.
  • Christian Wood (Mavericks): Wood is questionable for Saturday’s (Jan.14) game against Portland.

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 7.9 assists per game (95 assists/12 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 11.8

The Mavericks have averaged 49.9 points per game (599 points/12 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54.7

The Mavericks have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (95 assists/ 88 TOs) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Mavericks have a 32% free throw rate (321 free throw attempts/991 field goal attempts) this season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 20.2 points in the paint per game (3,376 points/167 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.9

The Trail Blazers have averaged 1.39 points per shot (714 points/515 shots) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Trail Blazers averaged 115.9 points per game (8,345 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8

The Trail Blazers have averaged 42.0 points in the paint per game (7,016 points/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.4

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (1,106 steals/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Mavericks have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (327 blocks/84 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Mavericks have averaged 31.1 defensive rebounds per game (373 rebounds/12 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.2

The Mavericks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (552 steals/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (5,534 rebounds/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Trail Blazers have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (196 blocks/49 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Trail Blazers have averaged 6.8 steals per game (88 steals/13 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Trail Blazers have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (51 blocks/13 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.