Dallas Mavericks vs Portland Trail Blazers Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Jan. 15

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 15, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Trail Blazers (20-22) are -6.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks (24-20)
  • Total (Over/Under): 224.5 points
  • Sunday, January 15, 2023 at 9:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW & BSSW

The Dallas Mavericks visit Moda Center to take on the Portland Trail Blazers on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Portland.

The Trail Blazers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-115).

The Mavericks vs Trail Blazers Over/Under is 222.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 15-27 against the spread, while the Trail Blazers are 23-19 against the spread.


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Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dallas Mavericks+7.5 -105O 222.5 -105+240
Portland Trail Blazers -7.5 -115U 222.5 -105-300

Trail Blazers vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Trail Blazers will win Sunday‘s game with 64.3% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 52.2% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Mavericks and Trail Blazers, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 60 of their last 94 games (+23.41 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 26 games (+8.80 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 44 of their last 79 games (+6.45 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 46 games (+6.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 43 of their last 76 games (+5.84 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 31 of their last 67 games (+17.60 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 34 games at home (+16.79 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 52 of their last 83 games (+16.54 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.95 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 53 games (+7.90 Units / 14% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 15-27 (-14.65 Units / -30.3% ROI).

  • 24-20 against the Moneyline (-14.55 Units / -14.95% ROI)
  • 25-19 against the Over for game total points (+4.1 Units / 8.47% ROI)
  • 19-25 against the Under for game total points (-8.5 Units / -17.56% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 23-19 (+2.1 Units / 4.55% ROI).

  • 20-22 against the Moneyline (+2.9 Units / 4.71% ROI)
  • 19-22 against the Over for game total points (-5.2 Units / -11.26% ROI)
  • 22-19 against the Under for game total points (+1.1 Units / 2.38% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 24 of their last 83 games (-34.21 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 83 games (-27.27 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 83 games (-26.22 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 83 games (-23.78 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 33 of their last 83 games (-22.69 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 100 games (-35.14 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 35 games (-21.46 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 80 games (-21.13 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 48 of their last 99 games (-20.58 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 29 away games (-18.15 Units / -41% ROI)

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Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The Mavericks are 25-12 (.676) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

The Mavericks are 22-6 (.786) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .506

The Mavericks are 35-19 (.648) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Mavericks are 46-21 (.687) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Portland Trail Blazers are 6-37 (.140) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — worst among NBA teams. The San Antonio Spurs have averaged 44.9 rebounds per game (4,314 rebounds/96 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — eighth-highest among NBA teams.

The Trail Blazers are 8-34 (.190) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .447

The Trail Blazers are 4-15 (.211) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .479

The Trail Blazers are 13-22 (.371) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

Injury Report: Trail Blazers vs. MavericksSunday‘s Game, Jan. 15

  • Nassir Little (Trail Blazers): The Trailblazers announced that Little will miss six weeks with a mild femoral head impaction fracture.
  • Justise Winslow (Trail Blazers): The Blazers announced that Winslow will be re-evaluated in two weeks.
  • Maxi Kleber (Mavericks): The Mavericks announced that Kleber underwent surgery for a right hamstring tear and there’s no timetable for his return.
  • Josh Green (Mavericks): Green hasn’t played since Dec. 9 against Milwaukee. A timetable for his return hasn’t been announced.
  • Dorian Finney-Smith (Mavericks): Mavericks coach Jason Kidd said Finney-Smith will miss at least another couple weeks, according to NBA writer Marc Stein.
  • Christian Wood (Mavericks): Wood is out for Saturday’s (Jan.14) game against Portland.

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 7.9 assists per game (95 assists/12 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 11.8

The Mavericks have averaged 49.9 points per game (599 points/12 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54.7

The Mavericks have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (95 assists/ 88 TOs) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Mavericks have a 32% free throw rate (321 free throw attempts/991 field goal attempts) this season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 20.2 points in the paint per game (3,376 points/167 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.9

The Trail Blazers have averaged 1.39 points per shot (714 points/515 shots) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Trail Blazers averaged 115.9 points per game (8,345 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8

The Trail Blazers have averaged 42.0 points in the paint per game (7,016 points/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.4

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (1,106 steals/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Mavericks have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (327 blocks/84 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Mavericks have averaged 31.1 defensive rebounds per game (373 rebounds/12 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.2

The Mavericks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (552 steals/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (5,534 rebounds/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Trail Blazers have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (196 blocks/49 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Trail Blazers have averaged 6.8 steals per game (88 steals/13 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Trail Blazers have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (51 blocks/13 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1


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