Mavericks vs Trail Blazers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 27

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  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The Dallas Mavericks visit Moda Center to take on the Portland Trail Blazers on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00 pm in Portland, OR.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Mavericks vs Trail Blazers Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 32-41 against the spread, while the Trail Blazers are 39-35 against the spread.


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Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dallas Mavericks O
Portland Trail Blazers U

Trail Blazers vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Trail Blazers will win Friday‘s game with 62.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Trail Blazers.

Trail Blazers vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 64.4% confidence.


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  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 50 games (+18.55 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games (+10.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 away games (+7.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 away games (+5.50 Units / 90% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 40 away games (+5.50 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.25 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+11.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 15 games at home (+10.80 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games (+10.77 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games (+10.75 Units / 62% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 32-41 (-13.15 Units / -16.37% ROI).

  • 23-50 against the Moneyline (-16.35 Units / -17.77% ROI)
  • 33-40 against the Over for game total points (-11 Units / -13.7% ROI)
  • 40-33 against the Under for game total points (+3.7 Units / 4.61% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 39-35 (+0.5 Units / 0.61% ROI).

  • 37-37 against the Moneyline (+4.35 Units / 3.06% ROI)
  • 40-34 against the Over for game total points (+2.6 Units / 3.19% ROI)
  • 34-40 against the Under for game total points (-10 Units / -12.29% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 50 games (-20.30 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.68 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 35 games at home (-14.50 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 35 games at home (-13.30 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 45 games (-13.25 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 50 games (-25.50 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 45 games (-17.50 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 16 of their last 45 games (-17.35 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 11 of their last 35 games (-16.65 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 45 games (-16.25 Units / -31% ROI)

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Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The Mavericks are 8-31 (.205) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431

The Mavericks are 11-29 (.275) when they lose the turnover margin this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .407

The Mavericks are 12-23 (.343) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .559

The Mavericks are 5-7 (.417) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .600

Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Trail Blazers are 5-23 (.179) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .445

The Trail Blazers are 2-48 (.040) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .157

The Trail Blazers are 3-9 (.250) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .400

The Trail Blazers are 13-2 (.867) when assisting on 30 or more field goals this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .716

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks are shooting 75% from the free throw line (1,390/1,858) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Mavericks have made 10.8 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

The Mavericks are shooting 34% from three (395/1,173) in the first half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Mavericks have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (1,851 assists/ 1,081 TOs) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 17.4 turnovers per game (1,284 turnovers/74 games) this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.5

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (2,729 assists/ 1,942 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (5,713 assists/ 3,842 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Trail Blazers are shooting 32% from three (476/1,484) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 7.4 steals per game (539 steals/73 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Mavericks have averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (8,540 rebounds/237 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Mavericks have averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,694 rebounds/73 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9

The Mavericks have averaged 5.2 blocks per game (377 blocks/73 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (7,961 rebounds/238 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Trail Blazers have averaged 5.4 blocks per game (400 blocks/74 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Trail Blazers have blocked 400 shots this season — 8th most among NBA teams

The Trail Blazers have averaged 5.4 blocks per game (418 blocks/77 games) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0


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