- The Mavericks are a 10.5-point home underdog against the Grizzlies.
- The Grizzlies have lost each of their last three games as favorites.
- My Mavericks vs. Grizzlies prediction focuses on the Memphis team total.
Looking to end a four-game losing streak, the Grizzlies travel to Dallas for a meeting with the Mavericks.
Memphis fell 120-103 at home against the Thunder on Wednesday, extending their losing run to four games. The good news? Memphis beat Dallas by 15 the last time they met.
Dallas finds itself amidst a similar losing run and has dropped three straight games. Most recently, the Mavericks fell 137-107 as road underdogs in Milwaukee.
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Mavericks vs. Grizzlies Odds, NBA
Mavericks vs. Grizzlies Prediction
Based on the Mavericks’ declining defense and the overall strength of the Grizzlies offense, my Mavericks vs. Grizzlies prediction is the Grizzlies Over 125.5 Points (-110).
It’s a prime buy-low spot on the Grizzlies, who switch from facing the league’s best defense to one of the worst.
Oklahoma City, which limited Memphis to 103 points on Wednesday, leads the NBA in adjusted defensive rating, per dunksandthrees.com.
Dallas, comparatively, sits 14th in that category. Accordingly, Dallas should struggle against a Grizzlies offense that’s sixth in the corresponding offensive category.
But the bigger worry with Dallas is that their defense has declined of late.
Over their last four games, the Mavericks rank 25th in defensive rating, without adjusting for strength of schedule.
While opponents are 2-2 against this number over that sample, one game came against a Hornets side 29th in adjusted offensive rating.
All three of the remaining opponents notched at least 122 points with the Bucks clearing this number in both meetings against Dallas.
Plus, the Grizzlies cleared this number in two straight games prior to their failure against Oklahoma City.
As a result, I like a bounceback performance from the Grizzlies against a defense riddled with injuries amidst a decline.
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