Dallas Mavericks vs Washington Wizards Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Nov. 10

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 10, 2022, 5:41 PM
  • The Mavericks (9-8) are favorites vs. the Wizards (10-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Thursday, November 10, 2022 at 7:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on NBCS-DC & BSSW

The Dallas Mavericks visit Capital One Arena to take on the Washington Wizards on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Washington.

The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).

The Mavericks vs Wizards Over/Under is 208.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 3-6 against the spread, while the Wizards are 6-5 against the spread.


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Mavericks vs. Wizards Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dallas Mavericks-5.5 -105O 208.5 -115-225
Washington Wizards +5.5 -115U 208.5 -115180

Wizards vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Thursday‘s game with 56% confidence.

Wizards vs Mavericks Spread Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 52% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Mavericks and Wizards, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


  • Away – Positive ATS Trends
  • Home – Positive ATS Trends

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 3-6 (-3.6 Units / -32.73% ROI).

  • Away Moneyline Record against the Moneyline (Away ML Units Units / Away ML ROI ROI)
  • Away Record Over against the Over for game total points (Away Over Units Units / Away Over ROI ROI)
  • Away Under Record against the Under for game total points (Away Under Units Units / Away Under ROI ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 6-5 (+0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI).

  • Home Moneyline Record against the Moneyline (Home ML Units Units / Home ML ROI ROI)
  • Home Over Record against the Over for game total points (Home Over Units Units / Home Over ROI ROI)
  • Home Under Record against the Under for game total points (Home Under Units Units / Home Under ROI ROI)
  • Home – Negative ATS Trends
  • Away – Negative ATS Trends

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Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards

The Dallas Mavericks were 29-15 (.659) when they win the turnover margin last season — eighth-best among NBA teams. The Orlando Magic averaged 13.8 turnovers per game (1,131 turnovers/82 games) last season — tied for third-highest among NBA teams.

The Mavericks were 19-6 (.760) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

The Mavericks were 17-6 (.739) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .503

The Mavericks are 57-9 (.864) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .697

Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Wizards are 1-15 (.062) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .321

The Wizards were 1-15 (.062) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .321

The Wizards were 4-24 (.143) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .200

The Wizards are 8-18 (.308) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .481

Injury Report: Wizards vs. MavericksThursday‘s Game, Nov. 10

  • Monte Morris (Wizards): Morris did not play in Friday’s game (Nov. 25) against the Heat.
  • Delon Wright (Wizards): The Wizards announced that Wright will be re-evaluated in three weeks.
  • Rui Hachimura (Wizards): Hachimura did not play in Friday’s game (Nov. 25) against the Heat.
  • Johnny Davis (Wizards): Davis did not play in Friday’s game (Nov. 25) against the Heat.
  • Maxi Kleber (Mavericks): Kleber is probable for Saturday’s (Nov. 25) game against Toronto.

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 10.0 fast break points per game (821 points/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5

The Mavericks averaged 20.4 points in the paint per game (1,676 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.7

The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (1,918 assists/ 958 TOs) last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Mavericks averaged 11.7 turnovers per game (958 turnovers/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0

Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards made 10.4 three-pointers per game last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.4

The Wizards averaged 9.5 fast break points per game (783 points/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5

The Wizards averaged 4.2 fast break points per game (338 points/81 games) in the second half last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.8

The Wizards shot 39% from three (151/385) in close and late situations last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34%

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 4.0 blocks per game (325 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Mavericks averaged 6.7 steals per game (550 steals/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Mavericks have averaged 6.5 steals per game (1,000 steals/154 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Mavericks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (550 steals/82 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have averaged 6.8 steals per game (1,046 steals/154 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Wizards averaged 6.3 steals per game (518 steals/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Wizards averaged 4.9 blocks per game (402 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Wizards have averaged 4.9 blocks per game (402 blocks/82 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.