Most Likely Teams to Win the 2026 NBA Playoffs

SAN ANTONIO, TX - FEBRUARY 4: Victor Wembanyama #1 of the San Antonio Spurs looks on during the game against the Oklahoma City Thunder on February 4, 2026 at the Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, Texas.
(Photos by Garrett Ellwood/NBAE)
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The 2026 NBA playoffs will begin this weekend. Thousands of BetMGM players will cast bets on props, totals, and single-game spreads.

Looming over all these options is the NBA championship odds market. While BetMGM has had this market open since last summer, some handicappers prefer to wait until the playoff picture settles to get involved. 

Most Likely Teams to Win the 2026 NBA Playoffs

According to BetMGM’s NBA odds, the Thunder are the most likely team to win the 2026 NBA playoffs.

Oklahoma City is +125 to win the title at the end of the regular season. That’s significantly shorter than the other top challengers, San Antonio (+450) and Boston (+550).

The Thunder basketball odds carry an implied probability of 44.4%. If these odds are correct, then Oklahoma City is more likely to lose the title than win it. 

BetMGM is the premier online sportsbook for updated basketball odds. And with live betting, there’s never a break in the action with the potential for live bets.

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The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.

About the Author Read More @chaseakiddy

Chase Kiddy is a senior writer for BetMGM who primarily covers college sports. He takes two things very seriously: board games and Las Vegas picks contests. He has previously written for a number of print and online outlets, including the Richmond Times-Dispatch, Washington Post, Daily News-Record, and HERO Sports.

Chase Kiddy is a senior writer for BetMGM who primarily covers college sports. He takes two things very seriously: board games and Las Vegas picks contests. He has previously written for a number of print and online outlets, including the Richmond Times-Dispatch, Washington Post, Daily News-Record, and HERO Sports.