- The Heat (40-34) are -5.5 favorites vs. the Nets (39-34)
- Total (Over/Under): 221.5 points
- Saturday, March 25, 2023 at 8:00pm EDT
- Watch the game on BSSUN & YES
The Brooklyn Nets visit Miami-Dade Arena to take on the Miami Heat on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Miami.
The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-115).
The Nets vs Heat Over/Under is 220.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Nets are 39-34 against the spread, while the Heat are 28-44 against the spread.
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Nets vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Brooklyn Nets | +5.5 -105 | O 220.5 -110 | +180 |
Miami Heat | -5.5 -115 | U 220.5 -110 | -225 |
Heat vs Nets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Heat will win Saturday‘s game with 65.2% confidence.
Heat vs Nets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nets will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 53.5% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Nets and Heat, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Nets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Brooklyn Nets have hit the 2H Moneyline in 18 of their last 26 away games (+14.42 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Brooklyn Nets have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 43 of their last 69 games (+13.04 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Brooklyn Nets have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 26 away games (+11.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Brooklyn Nets have covered the 4Q Spread in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.68 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Brooklyn Nets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 87 games (+8.50 Units / 9% ROI)
Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 42 games at home (+15.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 45 of their last 75 games (+15.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+9.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 46 games (+9.88 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 44 of their last 75 games (+8.60 Units / 10% ROI)
Brooklyn Nets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nets have gone 39-34 (+1.55 Units / 1.93% ROI).
- 39-34 against the Moneyline (+0.3 Units / 0.22% ROI)
- 33-39 against the Over for game total points (-9.9 Units / -12.33% ROI)
- 39-33 against the Under for game total points (+2.7 Units / 3.36% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 28-44 (-20.4 Units / -25.05% ROI).
- 40-34 against the Moneyline (-14.35 Units / -10.19% ROI)
- 34-39 against the Over for game total points (-8.9 Units / -10.93% ROI)
- 39-34 against the Under for game total points (+1.6 Units / 1.97% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only covered the Spread in 30 of their last 80 games (-22.80 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 74 games (-22.76 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 30 of their last 81 games (-22.70 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 94 games (-22.15 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the 1H Spread in 40 of their last 96 games (-20.55 Units / -19% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nets:
- The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 68 games (-23.70 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 81 games (-22.73 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Brooklyn Nets have only covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 60 games (-19.55 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 32 away games (-19.30 Units / -45% ROI)
- The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 87 games (-17.55 Units / -18% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Brooklyn Nets
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Player Injuries for Brooklyn Nets vs. Miami Heat
- Brooklyn Nets Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Brooklyn Nets Defensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
Brooklyn Nets: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Nets are 53-47 (.530) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .458
The Nets are 24-29 (.453) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .538
The Nets are 68-18 (.791) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .721
The Nets are 69-26 (.726) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .674
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Brooklyn Nets
The Heat are 27-16 (.628) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .459
The Heat are 104-75 (.581) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .510
The Heat are 18-8 (.692) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .548
The Heat are 18-11 (.621) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .513
Injury Report: Heat vs. Nets – Saturday‘s Game, Mar. 25
- Kyle Lowry (Heat): Lowry is questionable for Saturday’s (Mar 25) game against Brooklyn.
- Caleb Martin (Heat): Martin is questionable for Saturday’s (Mar 25) game against Brooklyn.
- Cody Zeller (Heat): Zeller underwent a procedure on his broken nose, Adam Lichtenstein of the South Florida Sun Sentinel reports.
- Nikola Jovic (Heat): Jovic is out for Saturday’s (Mar 25) game against Brooklyn.
- Seth Curry (Nets): The Nets have listed Curry as OUT for Saturday’s game (Mar. 25) against the Heat.
- Ben Simmons (Nets): Simmons hasn’t played since Feb. 15 against Miami and remains without a timetable to return.
Brooklyn Nets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nets have averaged 12.3 offensive rebounds per game (835 rebounds/68 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.3
The Nets are shooting 39% from three (1,496/3,863) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Nets have averaged 10.6 second chance points per game (394 points/37 games) on the road this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.4
The Nets have averaged 10.4 second chance points per game (322 points/31 games) at home this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 109.1 points per game (7,748 points/71 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.5
The Heat have averaged 107.6 points per game (3,658 points/34 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.1
The Heat have averaged 52.2 points per game (3,707 points/71 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1
The Heat averaged 108.1 points per game (7,781 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8
Brooklyn Nets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nets have averaged 6.3 blocks per game (430 blocks/68 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Nets have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (878 blocks/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Nets have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (1,250 blocks/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Nets have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (632 blocks/108 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 3.4 blocks per game (379 blocks/111 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6
The Heat have averaged 3.4 blocks per game (771 blocks/225 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Heat have averaged 3.1 blocks per game (241 blocks/78 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Heat have averaged 3.1 blocks per game (220 blocks/71 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6
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