Nets vs Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 12, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Nuggets (46-21) are -9.5 favorites vs. the Nets (38-29)
  • Total (Over/Under): 230.5 points
  • Sunday, March 12, 2023 at 3:30pm EDT
  • Watch the game on ALT & YES

The Brooklyn Nets visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in Denver.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-105).

The Nets vs Nuggets Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nets are 37-30 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 36-30 against the spread.


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Nets vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Brooklyn Nets+9.5 -115O 228.5 -115+290
Denver Nuggets -9.5 -105U 228.5 -115-375

Nuggets vs Nets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Sunday‘s game with 71.0% confidence.

Nuggets vs Nets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Nets and Nuggets, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Brooklyn Nets have hit the 2H Moneyline in 17 of their last 24 away games (+13.74 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 47 games (+13.65 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 63 games (+13.64 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have covered the Spread in 36 of their last 59 games (+10.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have covered the 4Q Spread in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.10 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 45 of their last 63 games (+24.63 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 29 games at home (+19.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 34 games at home (+13.25 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 23 games (+10.35 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 51 of their last 87 games (+10.08 Units / 10% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nets have gone 37-30 (+3.95 Units / 5.36% ROI).

  • 38-29 against the Moneyline (+2.7 Units / 2.08% ROI)
  • 30-36 against the Over for game total points (-9.6 Units / -13.03% ROI)
  • 36-30 against the Under for game total points (+3 Units / 4.07% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 36-30 (+3 Units / 4.07% ROI).

  • 46-21 against the Moneyline (+7.9 Units / 4.35% ROI)
  • 34-33 against the Over for game total points (-2.3 Units / -3.12% ROI)
  • 33-34 against the Under for game total points (-4.4 Units / -5.97% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 63 games (-32.52 Units / -46% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 87 games (-25.88 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 87 games (-21.97 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 45 of their last 87 games (-19.71 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 37 of their last 87 games (-18.71 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 86 games (-24.38 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 62 games (-19.46 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 30 away games (-19.30 Units / -48% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have only covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 30 away games (-18.10 Units / -56% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 83 games (-16.70 Units / -18% ROI)

Jump to:

Brooklyn Nets: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Nets are 64-32 (.667) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .574

The Nets are 7-35 (.167) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .225

The Nets are 6-12 (.333) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .530

The Nets are 40-8 (.833) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .769

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Brooklyn Nets

The Nuggets are 44-8 (.846) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .597

The Nuggets are 28-11 (.718) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .495

The Nuggets are 29-7 (.806) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

The Nuggets are 27-9 (.750) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .575

Injury Report: Nuggets vs. NetsSunday‘s Game, Mar. 12

  • Vlatko Cancar (Nuggets): Cancar is probable for Sunday’s (Mar. 12) game against Brooklyn.
  • Collin Gillespie (Nuggets): Gillespie has not played this season and no timetable has been announced for his return.
  • Zeke Nnaji (Nuggets): Nnaji has not played since Feb. 5 and no timetable has been announced for his return.
  • Ben Simmons (Nets): Simmons hasn’t played since Feb. 15 against Miami and remains without a timetable to return.

Brooklyn Nets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nets have a TS% of 53% in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Nets are shooting 50% (373/740) in close and late situations this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 45%

The Nets have an eFG% of 58% in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Nets are shooting 50% (1,298/2,593) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (4,882/9,548) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Nuggets have averaged 30.6 assists per game (949 assists/31 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.4

The Nuggets are shooting 53% (1,393/2,654) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets have averaged 29.2 assists per game (2,102 assists/72 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.2

Brooklyn Nets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nets have averaged 6.5 blocks per game (383 blocks/59 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Nets have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (831 blocks/141 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Nets have averaged 7.1 steals per game (1,002 steals/141 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Nets have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (411 blocks/69 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (893 blocks/214 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Nuggets have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (570 blocks/142 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Nuggets have 458 steals this season — tied for 9th most among NBA teams

The Nuggets have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (284 blocks/70 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.