Nuggets vs Bucks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 23

• The Favorite Team are Favorite Spread favorites vs. the Underdog Team
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
• Watch the game on Broadcast Home

The visit to take on the on . Tipoff is scheduled for in .

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The vs Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the are 26-19 against the spread, while the are 19-24 against the spread.

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vs. Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

vs Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win ‘s game with 58.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both and .

vs Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for ‘s game with 54.8% confidence.

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Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 40 away games (+25.60 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 away games (+17.40 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 30 of their last 45 away games (+12.70 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 16 away games (+11.70 Units / 63% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 away games (+10.63 Units / 24% ROI)

Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.10 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 2H Spread in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+9.92 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 3Q Spread in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+9.75 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+9.50 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.55 Units / 25% ROI)

Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the have gone 26-19 (+5.1 Units / 10.29% ROI).

• 30-15 against the Moneyline (+4.2 Units / 3.35% ROI)
• 27-18 against the Over for game total points (+7.23 Units / 14.61% ROI)
• 18-27 against the Under for game total points (-11.7 Units / -23.61% ROI)

Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the have gone 19-24 (-7.4 Units / -15.66% ROI).

• 18-25 against the Moneyline (-12.9 Units / -18.35% ROI)
• 17-26 against the Over for game total points (-11.6 Units / -24.52% ROI)
• 26-17 against the Under for game total points (+7.3 Units / 15.43% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the :

• The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 35 games at home (-20.90 Units / -52% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 2Q Spread in 16 of their last 45 games (-17.70 Units / -34% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 35 games at home (-16.90 Units / -27% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 1 of their last 16 games at home (-16.35 Units / -89% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 40 games at home (-15.75 Units / -35% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the :

• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 45 games (-15.20 Units / -29% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 45 games (-14.90 Units / -29% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 40 away games (-14.60 Units / -33% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 20 of their last 50 away games (-14.43 Units / -25% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 50 away games (-13.42 Units / -22% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Away team
• Keys to Winning for the Home team
• Player Injuries for Away vs. Home
• Away Offensive stats
• Home Offensive stats
• Away Defensive stats
• Home Defensive stats

: Keys to the Game vs. the

The Nuggets are winless (0-9) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .099

The Nuggets are 15-7 (.682) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .531

The Nuggets were 20-8 (.714) when allowing 15 or more second chance points in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

The Nuggets were 53-21 (.716) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .511

: Keys to the Game vs. the

The Bucks are winless (0-6) when their eFG is 50% or worse this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .214

The Bucks were 22-7 (.759) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

The Bucks are 20-9 (.690) when turning the ball over fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .585

The Bucks are 1-18 (.053) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2024-25 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .193

Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets are shooting 40% from three (626/1,576) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Nuggets have an eFG% of 59% on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Nuggets averaged 11.1 fast break points per game (913 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Nuggets have averaged 1.39 points per shot (2,730 points/1,971 shots) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks are shooting 45% from three (101/225) in close and late situations this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Bucks have averaged 11.4 second chance points per game (492 points/43 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.1

The Bucks are shooting 40% from three (311/770) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Bucks averaged 10.0 second chance points per game (400 points/40 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,031 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Nuggets have averaged 6.9 steals per game (310 steals/45 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Nuggets averaged 5.6 blocks per game (457 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 37.5 defensive rebounds per game (3,072 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Bucks have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (172 blocks/43 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Bucks averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,035 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks averaged 6.8 steals per game (558 steals/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

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