Nuggets vs Cavaliers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 23

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 23, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Cavaliers (38-23) are -2.5 favorites vs. the Nuggets (41-18)
  • Total (Over/Under): 222.5 points
  • Thursday, February 23, 2023 at 7:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSOH & ALT

The Denver Nuggets visit Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse to take on the Cleveland Cavaliers on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Cleveland.

The Cavaliers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Nuggets vs Cavaliers Over/Under is 222.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 32-26 against the spread, while the Cavaliers are 31-26 against the spread.


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Nuggets vs. Cavaliers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Denver Nuggets+2.5 -115O 222.5 -110+110
Cleveland Cavaliers -2.5 -105U 222.5 -110-135

Cavaliers vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Cavaliers will win Thursday‘s game with 55.7% confidence.

Cavaliers vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Cavaliers will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Nuggets and Cavaliers, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 55 games (+20.82 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 58 games (+17.90 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 51 of their last 84 games (+13.79 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 22 games (+10.16 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 30 games (+10.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 60 games (+17.56 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 59 games (+13.71 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 31 of their last 47 games (+13.50 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 31 games at home (+12.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have covered the 4Q Spread in 17 of their last 24 games at home (+9.32 Units / 36% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 32-26 (+3.4 Units / 5.24% ROI).

  • 41-18 against the Moneyline (+15.25 Units / 9.85% ROI)
  • 29-30 against the Over for game total points (-4 Units / -6.16% ROI)
  • 30-29 against the Under for game total points (-1.9 Units / -2.93% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 31-26 (+2.4 Units / 3.57% ROI).

  • 38-23 against the Moneyline (+2.85 Units / 2.09% ROI)
  • 28-33 against the Over for game total points (-8.3 Units / -12.37% ROI)
  • 33-28 against the Under for game total points (+2.2 Units / 3.28% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 87 games (-28.90 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 72 games (-26.02 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 35 of their last 87 games (-22.74 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 63 games (-21.79 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 26 of their last 67 games (-19.25 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 82 games (-30.62 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 85 games (-25.24 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 84 games (-25.07 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 42 of their last 85 games (-24.39 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 33 of their last 80 games (-19.22 Units / -22% ROI)

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Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Denver Nuggets are 26-7 (.788) when winning the rebounding margin this season — sixth-best among NBA teams. The Cleveland Cavaliers have averaged 42.2 rebounds per game (2,405 rebounds/57 games) this season — tied for ninth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Nuggets are 43-8 (.843) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .599

The Nuggets are 74-20 (.787) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .575

The Nuggets are 27-11 (.711) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .496

Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Cleveland Cavaliers are 5-17 (.227) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — ninth-worst among NBA teams. The Denver Nuggets has shot 40% from three (685/1,733) this season — best among NBA teams.

The Cleveland Cavaliers are 46-22 (.676) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-best among NBA teams. The Denver Nuggets have averaged 14.0 turnovers per game (1,935 turnovers/138 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for fourth-highest among NBA teams.

The Cavaliers are 1-20 (.048) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .157

The Cavaliers are 28-20 (.583) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .496

Injury Report: Cavaliers vs. NuggetsThursday‘s Game, Feb. 23

  • Ricky Rubio (Cavaliers): Rubio is out for Thursday’s (Feb. 23) game against Denver.
  • Aaron Gordon (Nuggets): Gordon is out for Thursday’s (Feb. 23) game against Cleveland.
  • Collin Gillespie (Nuggets): Gillespie has not played this season and no timetable has been announced for his return.
  • Zeke Nnaji (Nuggets): Nnaji is out for Thursday’s (Feb. 23) game against Cleveland.
  • Jamal Murray (Nuggets): Murray is questionable for Thursday’s (Feb. 23) game against Cleveland.

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (4,793/9,369) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (3,138/6,109) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Nuggets are shooting 53% (1,304/2,475) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets are shooting 40% from three (98/244) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33%

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers averaged 102.5 points per game (7,379 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8

The Cavaliers shot 34% from three (714/2,125) in the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Cavaliers have averaged 111.8 points per game (6,373 points/57 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3

The Cavaliers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (2,412 assists/ 1,426 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (554 blocks/138 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Nuggets have 429 steals this season — 9th most among NBA teams

The Nuggets have averaged 7.7 steals per game (429 steals/56 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Nuggets have averaged 4.4 blocks per game (249 blocks/56 games) this season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (459 blocks/106 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (452 blocks/105 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (295 blocks/70 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (592 blocks/139 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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