- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on ABC | ESPN+
The Denver Nuggets visit TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Boston, MA, MA, USA.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Nuggets vs Celtics Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 31-28 against the spread, while the Celtics are 25-34 against the spread.
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Nuggets vs. Celtics Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Denver Nuggets | O | ||
Boston Celtics | U |
Celtics vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Sunday‘s game with 71.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Celtics.
Celtics vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Celtics will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 52.2% confidence.
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Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 58 games (+14.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 32 games (+12.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 58 games (+11.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 25 games (+11.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 26 games (+11.35 Units / 25% ROI)
Celtics Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Boston Celtics have hit the Team Total Under in 45 of their last 66 games (+21.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 72 of their last 99 games (+14.32 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 57 of their last 97 games (+13.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 31 games at home (+11.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 66 games (+9.30 Units / 13% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 31-28 (+0.2 Units / 0.3% ROI).
- 39-21 against the Moneyline (+1.35 Units / 0.78% ROI)
- 36-24 against the Over for game total points (+9.6 Units / 14.55% ROI)
- 24-36 against the Under for game total points (-15.6 Units / -23.64% ROI)
Boston Celtics Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 25-34 (-12.4 Units / -18.79% ROI).
- 42-18 against the Moneyline (-38.85 Units / -11.77% ROI)
- 27-33 against the Over for game total points (-9.3 Units / -14.09% ROI)
- 33-27 against the Under for game total points (+3.3 Units / 5% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Celtics:
- The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 96 games (-54.54 Units / -35% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have only hit the Moneyline in 65 of their last 90 games (-53.45 Units / -11% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have only covered the 4Q Spread in 33 of their last 96 games (-38.10 Units / -35% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have only hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 89 games (-33.28 Units / -32% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 97 games (-27.95 Units / -25% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 75 games (-26.70 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 45 away games (-25.31 Units / -36% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 58 games (-23.40 Units / -35% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 93 games (-23.30 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 34 of their last 82 games (-21.50 Units / -23% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Keys to Winning for the Boston Celtics
- Player Injuries for Denver Nuggets vs. Boston Celtics
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Boston Celtics Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
- Boston Celtics Defensive stats
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics
The Nuggets are 8-1 (.889) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .626
The Nuggets are 20-4 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .612
The Nuggets are 68-15 (.819) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .568
The Nuggets were 53-21 (.716) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .511
Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Celtics are 24-7 (.774) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .459
The Celtics are 28-6 (.824) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .442
The Celtics are 37-13 (.740) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Nuggets have allowed 13.9 made three-pointers per game this season — T-6th-worst in the NBA.
The Celtics are 36-11 (.766) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 8th-best in the NBA. The Nuggets have allowed 116.1 points per game this season — 8th-worst in the NBA.
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 10.9 fast break points per game (654 points/60 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Nuggets have averaged 59.5 points in the paint per game (3,570 points/60 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.7
The Nuggets have averaged 31.2 points in the paint per game (1,872 points/60 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.5
The Nuggets have averaged 20.3 fast break points per game (628 points/31 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.3
Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends
The Celtics made 16.5 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8
The Celtics have made 16.6 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.9
The Celtics have made 17.0 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.1
The Celtics have made 17.8 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.4
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 36.5 defensive rebounds per game (5,177 rebounds/142 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Nuggets have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (283 blocks/60 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Nuggets have averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,231 rebounds/60 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
The Nuggets have blocked 740 shots since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th most among NBA teams
Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends
The Celtics averaged 6.6 blocks per game (538 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Celtics have averaged 37.4 defensive rebounds per game (5,306 rebounds/142 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Celtics allowed an average of 1.19 points per shot (8,957 points/7,515 shots) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.28
The Celtics averaged 37.9 defensive rebounds per game (3,109 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
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