Denver Nuggets vs LA Clippers Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Nov. 25

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 25, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Nuggets (10-6) are -3.5 favorites vs. the Clippers (11-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 218.5 points
  • Friday, November 25, 2022 at 10:30pm EST
  • Watch the game on KTLA & ALT

The Denver Nuggets visit Crypto.com Arena to take on the LA Clippers on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EST in Los Angeles.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Nuggets vs Clippers Over/Under is 218.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 8-10 against the spread, while the Clippers are 9-10 against the spread.


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Nuggets vs. Clippers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Denver Nuggets-3.5 -110O 218.5 -110-150
LA Clippers +3.5 -110U 218.5 -110+125

Clippers vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Friday‘s game with 58.0% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Clippers will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 52.4% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Nuggets and Clippers, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 63 games (+16.41 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 39 away games (+15.60 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 52 of their last 87 games (+14.60 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 31 of their last 48 away games (+13.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 51 of their last 86 games (+13.25 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have covered the 3Q Spread in 45 of their last 69 games (+18.98 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 42 of their last 72 games (+14.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 25 games (+12.40 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 69 games (+12.10 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have covered the 4Q Spread in 44 of their last 74 games (+11.10 Units / 14% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 8-10 (-3 Units / -15.15% ROI).

  • 11-7 against the Moneyline (-0.7 Units / -1.65% ROI)
  • 9-9 against the Over for game total points (-0.9 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 9-9 against the Under for game total points (-0.9 Units / -4.55% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Clippers have gone 9-10 (-2 Units / -9.59% ROI).

  • 11-8 against the Moneyline (-0.35 Units / -0.94% ROI)
  • 5-14 against the Over for game total points (-10.4 Units / -49.76% ROI)
  • 14-5 against the Under for game total points (+8.5 Units / 40.67% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 84 games (-40.05 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have only covered the 2Q Spread in 32 of their last 84 games (-26.08 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 32 of their last 84 games (-24.25 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 83 games (-21.10 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have only hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 85 games (-20.70 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 34 of their last 87 games (-42.01 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 86 games (-27.71 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 69 games (-25.81 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 87 games (-23.20 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 35 of their last 86 games (-20.77 Units / -22% ROI)

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Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the LA Clippers

The Nuggets are 51-19 (.729) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .568

The Nuggets are 33-11 (.750) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

The Nuggets are 28-15 (.651) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Nuggets are 17-6 (.739) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .510

LA Clippers: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The LA Clippers are 25-6 (.806) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for seventh-best among NBA teams. The Houston Rockets have averaged 42.5 rebounds per game (4,036 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for third-lowest among NBA teams.

The Clippers are 59-13 (.819) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .699

The Clippers are 20-11 (.645) when turning the ball over fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .559

The Clippers are 24-4 (.857) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .744

Injury Report: Clippers vs. NuggetsFriday‘s Game, Nov. 25

  • Paul George (Clippers): George did not play in Wednesday’s game (Nov. 23).
  • Luke Kennard (Clippers): Kennard did not play in Wednesday’s game (Nov. 23).
  • Kawhi Leonard (Clippers): Leonard did not play in Wednesday’s game (Nov. 23).
  • Ish Smith (Nuggets): Smith did not play in Wednesday’s game (Nov. 23).
  • Michael Porter Jr. (Nuggets): Porter Jr. did not play in Wednesday’s game (Nov. 23).
  • Collin Gillespie (Nuggets): The Nuggets announced that Gillespie is out indefinitely after undergoing surgery to repair a lower left leg fracture.
  • Jeff Green (Nuggets): Green did not play in Wednesday’s game (Nov. 23).
  • Peyton Watson (Nuggets): Watson did not play in Wednesday’s game (Nov. 23).
  • Bones Hyland (Nuggets): Hyland did not play in Wednesday’s game (Nov. 23).

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (2,136/4,216) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (3,791/7,476) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Nuggets are shooting 44% from three (61/138) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Nuggets are shooting 42% from three (171/404) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

LA Clippers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Clippers are shooting 39% from three (1,109/2,825) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Clippers have averaged 7.2 offensive rebounds per game (93 rebounds/13 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.6

The Clippers shot 41% from three (1,027/2,498) in the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Clippers have averaged 103.9 points per game (1,351 points/13 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 112.6

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (158 blocks/45 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Nuggets have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (348 blocks/86 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Nuggets have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (196 blocks/50 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Nuggets have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (329 blocks/81 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

LA Clippers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Clippers have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (73 blocks/13 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Clippers have averaged 35.5 defensive rebounds per game (461 rebounds/13 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.3

The Clippers have averaged 34.9 defensive rebounds per game (5,820 rebounds/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Clippers have averaged 5.0 blocks per game (479 blocks/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.