Nuggets vs Grizzlies Player Prop Bets Tonight – NBA, Mar. 18

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The Denver Nuggets visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30 pm in Memphis, TN.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Nuggets vs Grizzlies Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 39-30 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 31-36 against the spread.

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Nuggets vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Grizzlies vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Wednesday‘s game with 60.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Grizzlies.

Grizzlies vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 54.6% confidence.

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Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 50 away games (+20.63 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 away games (+14.95 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 35 away games (+13.45 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 30 away games (+10.65 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 31 of their last 50 away games (+9.10 Units / 16% ROI)

Grizzlies Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+14.80 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.20 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+10.90 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.80 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+9.65 Units / 21% ROI)

Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 39-30 (+6 Units / 7.9% ROI).

• 42-27 against the Moneyline (+2.6 Units / 1.45% ROI)
• 43-26 against the Over for game total points (+14.43 Units / 19.02% ROI)
• 26-43 against the Under for game total points (-21.3 Units / -28.04% ROI)

Memphis Grizzlies Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 31-36 (-8.6 Units / -11.67% ROI).

• 23-44 against the Moneyline (-24.75 Units / -28.96% ROI)
• 33-34 against the Over for game total points (-4.4 Units / -5.97% ROI)
• 34-33 against the Under for game total points (-2.3 Units / -3.12% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Grizzlies:

• The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 40 games (-24.85 Units / -48% ROI)
• The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 9 of their last 40 games (-23.08 Units / -49% ROI)
• The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 50 games (-20.65 Units / -36% ROI)
• The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 40 games (-17.20 Units / -37% ROI)
• The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 40 games at home (-15.65 Units / -34% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:

• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 50 away games (-25.60 Units / -46% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 45 away games (-19.25 Units / -37% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 30 away games (-15.10 Units / -44% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 50 games (-14.70 Units / -17% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 50 away games (-13.11 Units / -23% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
• Keys to Winning for the Memphis Grizzlies
• Player Injuries for Denver Nuggets vs. Memphis Grizzlies
• Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
• Memphis Grizzlies Offensive stats
• Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
• Memphis Grizzlies Defensive stats

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Nuggets are 34-7 (.829) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .620

The Nuggets are undefeated (5-0) when their opponents turns the ball over 20 or more times since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .634

The Nuggets are 21-7 (.750) when they win the turnover margin this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .605

The Nuggets are 8-6 (.571) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .402

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Grizzlies were 7-1 (.875) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

The Grizzlies are 8-42 (.160) when allowing 110 or more points this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .355

The Grizzlies are 13-30 (.302) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .465

The Grizzlies were winless (0-19) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better in the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .142

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets are shooting 39% from three (953/2,432) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Nuggets have averaged 1.39 points per shot (8,331 points/6,001 shots) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.29

The Nuggets have averaged 1.42 points per shot (4,556 points/3,216 shots) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Nuggets averaged 10.7 points in the paint per game (586 points/55 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.5

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies shot 43% (3,145/7,230) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Grizzlies averaged 105.8 points per game (8,677 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3

The Grizzlies had an eFG% of 51% in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Grizzlies averaged 11.6 fast break points per game (950 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 7.0 steals per game (480 steals/69 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Nuggets averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,031 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Nuggets have averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,528 rebounds/69 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,785 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Grizzlies averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,017 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Grizzlies have averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,276 rebounds/67 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9

The Grizzlies averaged 8.2 steals per game (673 steals/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

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