- The Favorite Team are Favorite Spread favorites vs. the Underdog Team
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on Broadcast Home
The visit to take on the on . Tipoff is scheduled for in .
The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The vs Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the are 27-19 against the spread, while the are 18-25 against the spread.
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vs. Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| O | |||
| U |
vs Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win ‘s game with 61.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both and .
vs Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Grizzlies will cover the spread for ‘s game with 61.9% confidence.
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Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 away games (+28.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 away games (+16.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 17 away games (+10.55 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 22 away games (+8.95 Units / 35% ROI)
Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+14.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+9.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+7.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 games (+7.37 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 2Q Spread in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+6.85 Units / 17% ROI)
Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the have gone 27-19 (+6.1 Units / 12.04% ROI).
- 31-15 against the Moneyline (+6.45 Units / 5.1% ROI)
- 27-19 against the Over for game total points (+6.13 Units / 12.12% ROI)
- 19-27 against the Under for game total points (-10.7 Units / -21.12% ROI)
Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the have gone 18-25 (-9.5 Units / -20.08% ROI).
- 18-25 against the Moneyline (-12.7 Units / -20.96% ROI)
- 19-24 against the Over for game total points (-7.4 Units / -15.64% ROI)
- 24-19 against the Under for game total points (+3.1 Units / 6.55% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the :
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 40 games at home (-18.75 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 40 games (-15.20 Units / -33% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the Spread in 15 of their last 40 games at home (-12.50 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 11 of their last 30 games at home (-12.29 Units / -32% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 30 games at home (-10.65 Units / -31% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the :
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 20 of their last 50 away games (-14.48 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 17 away games (-13.05 Units / -67% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 50 away games (-13.00 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 45 games (-12.85 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 30 games (-12.85 Units / -38% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Away team
- Keys to Winning for the Home team
- Player Injuries for Away vs. Home
- Away Offensive stats
- Home Offensive stats
- Away Defensive stats
- Home Defensive stats
: Keys to the Game vs. the
The Nuggets were 13-1 (.929) when forcing 10 or more steals in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572
The Nuggets are 126-33 (.792) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .656
The Nuggets were 53-21 (.716) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .511
The Nuggets are 19-3 (.864) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .626
: Keys to the Game vs. the
The Grizzlies are 3-13 (.188) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .391
The Grizzlies are 5-24 (.172) when allowing 110 or more points this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .359
The Grizzlies are 4-1 (.800) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .576
The Grizzlies were winless (0-19) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better in the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .142
Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets averaged 10.7 points in the paint per game (586 points/55 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.5
The Nuggets averaged 59.4 points in the paint per game (2,434 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.7
The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (629 assists/ 276 TOs) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Nuggets have averaged 1.42 points per shot (3,148 points/2,212 shots) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.29
Offensive Stats & Trends
The Grizzlies averaged 105.8 points per game (8,677 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3
The Grizzlies had a TS% of 48% in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%
The Grizzlies shot 43% (1,551/3,600) at home in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%
The Grizzlies had a TS% of 48% at home in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%
Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (186 blocks/46 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Nuggets averaged 5.6 blocks per game (457 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Nuggets have averaged 6.9 steals per game (318 steals/46 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4
The Nuggets have averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (7,628 rebounds/210 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
Defensive Stats & Trends
The Grizzlies have averaged 7.7 steals per game (331 steals/43 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4
The Grizzlies averaged 8.2 steals per game (673 steals/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Grizzlies allowed 10.1 offensive rebounds per game (825 rebounds/82 games) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.6
The Grizzlies averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,017 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
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