- The Grizzlies are -2.5 favorites vs. the Nuggets
- Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
- Watch the game on ALT | FDSM
The Denver Nuggets visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in Memphis, TN.
The Grizzlies are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-105).
The Nuggets vs Grizzlies Over/Under is 226.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 4-6 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 8-5 against the spread.
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Nuggets vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Denver Nuggets | +6.5 -115 | O 226.5 -105 | +190 |
| Memphis Grizzlies | -6.5 -105 | U 226.5 -115 | -250 |
Grizzlies vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Sunday‘s game with 72.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Grizzlies.
Grizzlies vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.3% confidence.
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Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 45 away games (+12.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 61 of their last 89 games (+12.10 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 51 of their last 89 games (+8.20 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 24 games (+8.19 Units / 23% ROI)
Grizzlies Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1Q Spread in 41 of their last 59 games (+20.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 83 games (+14.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 28 games (+12.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+10.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 65 games (+10.65 Units / 14% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 4-6 (-2.6 Units / -21.49% ROI).
- 7-4 against the Moneyline (+1.55 Units / 5.7% ROI)
- 8-3 against the Over for game total points (+4.7 Units / 38.84% ROI)
- 3-8 against the Under for game total points (-5.8 Units / -47.93% ROI)
Memphis Grizzlies Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 8-5 (+2.5 Units / 17.48% ROI).
- 7-6 against the Moneyline (-5.15 Units / -22.44% ROI)
- 9-4 against the Over for game total points (+4.6 Units / 32.17% ROI)
- 4-9 against the Under for game total points (-5.9 Units / -41.26% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Grizzlies:
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 83 games (-26.32 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 84 games (-19.50 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 61 games (-18.17 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 36 of their last 83 games (-17.63 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 83 games (-14.55 Units / -15% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 38 of their last 76 games (-31.40 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 94 games (-19.20 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 45 away games (-19.15 Units / -37% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 26 games (-15.80 Units / -37% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 79 games (-14.35 Units / -16% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Keys to Winning for the Memphis Grizzlies
- Player Injuries for Denver Nuggets vs. Memphis Grizzlies
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Memphis Grizzlies Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
- Memphis Grizzlies Defensive stats
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies
The Nuggets are 28-7 (.800) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .581
The Nuggets are 23-9 (.719) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .447
The Nuggets are 13-3 (.812) when making 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd-best in the NBA. The Grizzlies have allowed 13.6 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-5th-worst in the NBA.
The Nuggets were 20-8 (.714) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448
Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Grizzlies were 1-28 (.034) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .207
The Grizzlies are winless (0-21) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .151
The Grizzlies were 11-32 (.256) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .434
The Grizzlies are 14-34 (.292) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .434
Injury Report: Grizzlies vs. Nuggets – Sunday‘s Game, Nov. 17
- Memphis Grizzlies – No Injuries Reported
- Denver Nuggets – No Injuries Reported
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (2,714 assists/ 1,201 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9
The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.6 (116 assists/ 44 TOs) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (333 assists/ 151 TOs) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Nuggets averaged 31.0 assists per game (1,270 assists/41 games) at home last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 27.2
Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends
The Grizzlies shot 43% (3,145/7,230) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Grizzlies averaged 105.8 points per game (8,677 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3
The Grizzlies had a TS% of 48% at home last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%
The Grizzlies have averaged 60.5 points in the paint per game (786 points/13 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.3
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 8.7 steals per game (96 steals/11 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3
The Nuggets averaged 7.1 steals per game (585 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Nuggets have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (508 blocks/93 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends
The Grizzlies have averaged 6.9 blocks per game (330 blocks/48 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Grizzlies have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (1,067 blocks/177 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Grizzlies have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (537 blocks/89 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Grizzlies have allowed a TS% of 47% in the first half this season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%
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