Denver Nuggets vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Dec. 2

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 02, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Nuggets (13-7) are -2.5 favorites vs. the Hawks (11-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 232.5 points
  • Friday, December 2, 2022 at 7:30pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSSE & ALT

The Denver Nuggets visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Atlanta.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Nuggets vs Hawks Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 11-10 against the spread, while the Hawks are 9-12 against the spread.


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Nuggets vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Denver Nuggets-3.5 -110O 228.5 -110-160
Atlanta Hawks +3.5 -110U 228.5 -110+135

Hawks vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Friday‘s game with 55.6% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 53.9% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Nuggets and Hawks, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 44 of their last 66 games (+19.41 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 40 away games (+16.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 52 of their last 87 games (+14.10 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 30 of their last 47 away games (+12.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 69 games (+11.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 36 games (+16.81 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 36 games at home (+14.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 54 games (+14.07 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 14 games at home (+9.80 Units / 63% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have covered the Spread in 23 of their last 36 games at home (+9.80 Units / 25% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 11-10 (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 14-7 against the Moneyline (+2.3 Units / 4.13% ROI)
  • 10-11 against the Over for game total points (-2.1 Units / -9.09% ROI)
  • 11-10 against the Under for game total points (+0 Units / 0% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 9-12 (-4.2 Units / -17.36% ROI).

  • 12-10 against the Moneyline (-3.4 Units / -7.9% ROI)
  • 12-10 against the Over for game total points (+1 Units / 4.13% ROI)
  • 10-12 against the Under for game total points (-3.2 Units / -13.22% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 89 games (-25.88 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 40 of their last 89 games (-25.43 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 89 games (-21.35 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 56 games (-20.71 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 39 of their last 89 games (-16.61 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 34 of their last 86 games (-42.04 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 72 games (-29.02 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 87 games (-27.17 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 35 of their last 87 games (-21.81 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 87 games (-19.00 Units / -20% ROI)

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Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Nuggets are 51-19 (.729) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .568

The Nuggets are 33-11 (.750) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

The Nuggets are 28-15 (.651) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Nuggets are 17-6 (.739) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .510

Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Hawks are 21-14 (.600) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .506

The Hawks are 17-4 (.810) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .606

The Hawks are 15-19 (.441) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .539

The Hawks are 50-26 (.658) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

Injury Report: Hawks vs. NuggetsFriday‘s Game, Dec. 2

  • Jalen Johnson (Hawks): Johnson is QUESTIONABLE for Friday’s (Dec. 2) game against Denver.
  • De’Andre Hunter (Hawks): Hunter is OUT for Friday’s (Dec. 2) game against Denver.
  • Frank Kaminsky (Hawks): Kaminsky is QUESTIONABLE for Friday’s (Dec. 2) game against Denver.
  • John Collins (Hawks): Collins is expected to miss a minimum of two weeks according to Shams Charania of the Athletic. .
  • Bogdan Bogdanovic (Hawks): Bogdanovic is QUESTIONABLE for Friday’s (Dec. 2) game against Denver.
  • Justin Holiday (Hawks): The Hawks placed Holiday in the league’s health and safety protocols.
  • Clint Capela (Hawks): Capela is QUESTIONABLE for Friday’s (Dec. 2) game against Denver.
  • Michael Porter Jr. (Nuggets): Porter Jr. is OUT for Friday’s (Dec. 2) game against Atlanta.
  • Collin Gillespie (Nuggets): The Nuggets announced that Gillespie is out indefinitely after undergoing surgery to repair a lower left leg fracture.
  • Jeff Green (Nuggets): Green is DOUBTFUL for Friday’s (Dec. 2) game against Atlanta.
  • Jamal Murray (Nuggets): Murray is PROBABLE for Friday’s (Dec. 2) game against Atlanta.

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (2,136/4,216) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (3,791/7,476) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Nuggets are shooting 44% from three (61/138) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Nuggets are shooting 42% from three (171/404) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks are shooting 28% from three (49/178) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Hawks are shooting 29% from three (62/210) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Hawks have averaged 1.21 points per shot (1,497 points/1,235 shots) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27

The Hawks have made 9.5 three-pointers per game this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.2

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (158 blocks/45 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Nuggets have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (348 blocks/86 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Nuggets have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (196 blocks/50 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Nuggets have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (329 blocks/81 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have averaged 34.6 defensive rebounds per game (450 rebounds/13 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.3

The Hawks have averaged 7.0 steals per game (667 steals/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Hawks have averaged 7.0 steals per game (1,170 steals/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Hawks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (558 steals/83 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.