Nuggets vs Jazz Player Prop Bets Tonight – NBA, Mar. 2

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  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The Denver Nuggets visit Delta Center to take on the Utah Jazz on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00 pm in Salt Lake City, UT.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Nuggets vs Jazz Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 34-27 against the spread, while the Jazz are 31-29 against the spread.


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Nuggets vs. Jazz Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Denver Nuggets O
Utah Jazz U

Jazz vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Monday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Jazz.

Jazz vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 away games (+20.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 45 away games (+15.63 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 33 of their last 50 away games (+13.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 away games (+12.75 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 24 away games (+11.10 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 35 games at home (+14.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 35 games at home (+10.60 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.55 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+7.65 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 40 games (+7.40 Units / 18% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 34-27 (+4.3 Units / 6.4% ROI).

  • 37-24 against the Moneyline (+0.7 Units / 0.45% ROI)
  • 38-23 against the Over for game total points (+12.73 Units / 18.98% ROI)
  • 23-38 against the Under for game total points (-18.8 Units / -27.99% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Jazz have gone 31-29 (-0.9 Units / -1.36% ROI).

  • 18-42 against the Moneyline (+1 Units / 1.57% ROI)
  • 35-25 against the Over for game total points (+7.5 Units / 11.36% ROI)
  • 25-35 against the Under for game total points (-13.5 Units / -20.45% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 35 games at home (-17.50 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 50 games (-14.80 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 50 games (-13.30 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 50 games (-13.15 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 30 games (-13.00 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 45 away games (-20.10 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 30 away games (-15.00 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 24 away games (-14.65 Units / -53% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.33 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 21 of their last 50 games (-14.17 Units / -19% ROI)

Jump to:

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Utah Jazz

The Nuggets are undefeated (5-0) when their opponents turns the ball over 20 or more times since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .637

The Nuggets were 31-8 (.795) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .557

The Nuggets are 33-7 (.825) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .618

The Nuggets are winless (0-9) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .100

Utah Jazz: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Jazz are winless (0-8) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .589

The Jazz were winless (0-5) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .414

The Jazz are 39-82 (.322) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

The Jazz are 3-62 (.046) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .192

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets averaged 11.1 fast break points per game (913 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Nuggets averaged 10.7 points in the paint per game (586 points/55 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.5

The Nuggets averaged 59.4 points in the paint per game (2,434 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.7

The Nuggets are shooting 39% from three (836/2,135) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Utah Jazz Offensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz averaged 17.2 turnovers per game (1,412 turnovers/82 games) last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

The Jazz have averaged 16.6 turnovers per game (1,840 turnovers/111 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.2

The Jazz have averaged 16.6 turnovers per game (2,361 turnovers/142 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Jazz had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (2,093 assists/ 1,412 TOs) last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 7.0 steals per game (426 steals/61 games) this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.5

The Nuggets averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,031 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Nuggets averaged 5.6 blocks per game (457 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Nuggets have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,222 rebounds/61 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

Utah Jazz Defensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (216 blocks/60 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Jazz have allowed 15.4 made three-pointers per game this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.3

The Jazz have allowed an average of 1.43 points per shot (3,716 points/2,602 shots) in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31

The Jazz allowed 20.3 fast break points per game (832 points/41 games) on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.